经济增长与碳排放脱钩:中国各省在绿色增长方面的表现如何?

Sheung Ying Mai
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摘要

大量研究表明,在经济发展中认真考虑环境责任至关重要。因此,无论学术界、公共部门还是私营部门,绿色增长都已成为全球环境经济学中最重要的课题之一。尽管有许多研究者对经济增长与环境污染之间的关系进行了研究,但绝大多数研究都只关注经济增长与碳排放的绝对量。在本研究中,笔者利用数十年来全国各地区的国内生产总值和碳排放量统计数据,不仅具体而全面地反映了中国各省在不同时期的绿色增长情况,而且提出了多个指标来反映碳排放量和国内生产总值的增长情况,以及绿色增长的增长率。结果表明,尽管 GDP 增长率较高,但由于碳排放增长率远高于 GDP 增长率,绿色增长率为负。这项研究对中国各省如何在高经济增长和低碳排放之间取得平衡,以实现更可持续的环境友好型发展道路提供了一些启示。
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Decoupling economic growth from carbon emissions: How have Chinese provinces performed in green growth over time?
Extensive research has shown that it is essential to take environmental responsibilities into careful consideration in economic development. Green growth has thereby become one of the most important topics in environmental economics across the globe no matter people are from academia, public, or private sectors. Even though there are many researchers who have investigated the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution, the vast majority of research has only focused on the absolute amount of economic growth and carbon emissions. In this study, utilizing national statistics about gross domestic product and carbon emissions by region over decades, I not only provide a concrete and comprehensive picture of the green growth of Chinese provinces over time, but also present multiple indicators to capture the growth of carbon emissions and gross domestic product, as well as the growth rate of green growth. The results show that, in spite of a high GDP growth rate, the green growth rate was negative because the carbon emissions growth rate was much higher than the rate of GDP growth. This work has shed some light regarding how Chinese provinces can balance between high economic growth and low carbon emissions in order to have a more sustainable and environment-friendly development path.
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