基于 CCUS 项目数据库,探讨全球二氧化碳捕获和储存项目的属性及其完成的关键因素

Mingyu Qin
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摘要

近几十年来,碳排放严重超标已成为最值得人类思考的缓解问题。碳排放对人类的负面影响涉及多个方面,如海平面上升、森林砍伐、空气污染、全球变暖等。其中任何一个问题都可能对人类社会造成严重的负面影响。在大量相关研究中,碳捕集与封存(CCS)计划被认为是最有前途、最有效的方法。生产过程中产生的碳被捕获并输送到地下深处的岩层中集中储存。全世界有近 300 家 CCS 工厂正在运行,证明了此类项目的可行性。然而,一个相关的问题是,该项目是否成本高昂,是否存在大规模部署的障碍。我们利用 CCUS 项目数据库收集了全球大规模 CCS 项目的综合清单。然后,我们对这些项目的各类项目状态进行了比较分析,通过对每个项目的成本和提取数字进行标准化,确保了可比性。我们发现,捕集与封存项目的成本最高,其次是仅捕集项目和仅封存项目。这些工厂主要分布在发达地区:美国最多,然后是欧洲和澳大利亚的部分地区,分布在全球的工厂较少。根据具体项目的详细信息,我们发现暂停或关闭工厂的两个最常见原因是没有足够资金支持的高成本以及政府机构许可和监管的影响。因此,资本市场的改善和更多的政策支持对于碳捕集与封存项目的部署和运营至关重要。
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Exploring attributes of global CCS projects and the key factors to their accomplishment based on the CCUS project database
In recent decades, the serious excessive level of carbon emissions has become the worthiest of human consideration to alleviate the problem. The negative impacts of carbon emissions on human beings involve a variety of aspects, such as sea level rise, deforestation, air pollution, global warming, etc. Any one of these issues could cause serious negative impacts on human society. In a large number of relevant studies, Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) programs are considered to be the most promising and effective approach. The carbon produced during production is captured and transported to rock formations deep underground where it is centrally stored. There are nearly 300 CCS plants in operation around the world that demonstrate the feasibility of such projects. However, one relevant question is whether the project is costly and has barriers to deploy at a scale. We gathered a comprehensive list of large-scale CCS projects globally by utilizing the CCUS Projects Database. We then conducted a comparative analysis of these projects across various categories of project status, ensuring comparability by standardizing cost and extraction figures for each project. We found that the cost of Capture and Storage Projects is the highest, followed by just Capture Projects and just Storage Projects. These plants predominantly exist in developed regions: the U.S. hosts the most, then Europe, parts of Australia, with fewer plants scattered globally. Based on detailed project-specific information, we found that that the two most common reasons for suspended or closed plants are high costs without sufficient financial support and the impact of government agencies permissions and regulation. As such, improvement in the capital market and more policy support would be crucial for the deployment and operation of Carbon Capture and Storage projects.
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