通过双级编程方法确定稳健、弹性和风险意识强的太阳能发电场位置

Reza Lotfi, Pedram MohajerAnsari, Mohammad Mehdi Sharifi Nevisi, Seyed Mahdi Sharifmousavi, Mohamad Afshar, Mojtaba Sadreddini Mehrjardi
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摘要

在战争等充满挑战的环境下,由于化石燃料开采和勘探的成本不断上升,各国政府正将重点转向太阳能(Solar Energy,SEL),将其作为可再生能源(Renewable Energy,RE)的一种选择。该模型推荐的 SE 位置(SEL)优先考虑稳健性、复原力和风险意识(3R),即 3RSEL。因此,首次提出了一种双层编程(BLP)方法来解决这一问题。为 BLP 数学模型定义了一种启发式方法。这项研究为快速求解该模型提供了下限和上限。结果表明,亚兹德和克尔曼是 SEL 的最佳地点。主要问题与不考虑风险和稳健性的情况进行了比较。可以看出,供应商的利润和能源产量低于不考虑风险和稳健性的情况,差距为-4.4%。考虑了稳健性系数、贴现率、风险条件值(CVaR)置信度和问题规模的变化。提高保守系数会降低供应商的利润函数和能源产出。或者,提高贴现率会降低供应商的利润函数,但不会影响能源产出。相反,提高置信度不会改变供应商的利润函数,但会导致能源产出下降。最后,如前所述,计算时间会随着问题规模的扩大而增加。
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A robust, resilience and risk-aware solar energy farm location by bi-level programming approach
In challenging circumstances such as war, governments are shifting their focus towards Solar Energy (SE) as a Renewable Energy (RE) option through photovoltaic panels due to the rising costs associated with fossil fuel extraction and exploration. This model recommends a SE Location (SEL) that prioritizes Robustness, Resilience, and Risk awareness (3R) which is called 3RSEL. As a result, a Bi-Level Programming (BLP) is proposed to solve this problem for the first time. A heuristic approach is defined for a BLP mathematical model. This research generates a lower and upper bound to solve the model quickly. The results show that Yazd and Kerman are the optimal location for SEL. The main problem is compared to a situation where risk and robustness are not considered. It can be observed that the supplier's profit and energy production are lower than without risk and robustness, with a gap of -4.4%. The variability of the conservatism coefficient, discount rate, confidence level of Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR), and problem scale are considered. Increasing the conservatism coefficient decreases the supplier's profit function and energy output. Alternatively, increasing the discount rate decreases the supplier's profit function without affecting the energy output. Conversely, boosting the confidence level does not alter suppliers' profit function but results in declining energy output. Finally, as stated, it can be observed that the computation time increases with an increase in the scale of the problem.
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