农业光伏系统:南非的潜在机遇

Alan Brent, Nicholas Chapman, Imke De Kock
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摘要

过去十年间,南非的太阳能光伏(PV)系统得到了迅猛发展,太阳能发电场的数量不断增加。从可用土地的角度来看,与世界其他地区相比,南非还有很大的潜力来大幅提高发电能力。超过 80% 的土地面积拥有大于 1600 kWh/m2/yr 的太阳能资源。超过 79% 的土地用于农业目的,但只有 22.5% 的光伏装机容量用于农业部门。这凸显了农业光伏系统在双重土地利用方面的潜力。本文通过考虑南非可能适合的农业生产,研究开发此类系统的机会,为在南非实施适当的农业光伏系统铺平道路。考虑到太阳能资源和坡度小于 2 度的土地--以最大限度地降低建设成本,本文进行了地理信息系统 (GIS) 分析。南非目前的大规模太阳能项目表明,每公顷土地每年至少可发电 0.6 千兆瓦时。目前的总发电量(所有来源)在 2022 年约为 237 太瓦时。因此,要利用农业光伏系统产生等量的电能,(粗略计算)需要不到 40 万公顷的农业用地;或不到适合农业光伏系统的可用土地的 2%(取决于设计的电池板密度)。目前正在对具体地点进行进一步的技术经济分析,以便更深入地了解南非的潜在机遇。
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Agrivoltaic Systems: Potential Opportunities for South Africa
South Africa has seen a drastic uptake of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems with an increasing number of solar farms over the last decade. From an available land perspective, there is also much potential to significantly expand the generation capacity, when compared to the rest of the world. More than 80% of the land area has a solar resource greater than 1600 kWh/m2/yr. Over 79% of the land is used for agricultural purposes, yet only 22.5% of the installed PV capacity is in the agricultural sector. This highlights the potential of dual land usage with agrivoltaic systems. This paper investigates the opportunities to develop such systems by considering agricultural production in South Africa that may be suitable – to pave the way forward for the implementation of appropriate agrivoltaic systems in the country. A Geographic Information System (GIS) analysis was undertaken, considering the solar resource and land with a slope of less than 2 degree – to minimise construction costs. Current large-scale solar projects in South Africa indicate that at least 0.6 GWh of electricity can be generated annually per hectare. The current total capacity (of all sources) generated around 237 TWh of electricity in 2022. To generate an equal amount of electricity with agrivoltaic systems would then (roughly) require less than 400 thousand hectares of agricultural land; or less than 2% of the available land suitable for agrivoltaic systems (depending on the designed panel density). Further site-specific techno-economic analyses are underway to provide greater insight into the potential opportunities for South Africa.
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