美元悖论现象及其在现代全球货币金融体系变革中的作用

Gandzhina Sh. Sindarova
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摘要

目前,全球货币金融体系正在发生根本性转变。与美元衰落的普遍看法相反,本文试图证明美国货币具有适应性,这巩固了其在国际金融体系中的地位,尽管可能是在较低的水平上。其他国家在国际交换、贸易和投资体系中推广本国货币的经验表明,所有这些尝试都取得了不同程度的成功。关于外国货币的生命周期,它们最初迅速确立自己的地位,增加其在业务中的份额,但随后很快遇到自然限制,并在各自国家内缩减。结论认为,美元主要是发展中国家的货币,因为它们主要积累美元。然而,这些国家的数量之多使得通过货币金融领域的潜在联盟来分散美元风险的可能性几乎可以忽略不计,只有金砖国家等极少数国家例外。
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The Phenomenon of the Dollar Paradox and Its Role in the Transformation of the Modern Global Monetary-Financial System
Currently, fundamental transformations are occurring within the global monetary-financial system. Contrary to the prevalent belief in the decline of the dollar, this article seeks to demonstrate that the American currency exhibits adaptive properties, which solidify its position in the international financial system, albeit possibly at a lower level. The experiences of other countries in promoting their national currencies in the international exchange, trade, and investment systems indicate that all such attempts yield varying degrees of success. Regarding the life cycle of foreign currencies, they initially establish themselves rapidly, increasing their share in operations, but then quickly encounter a natural limit and retract within their respective countries. Conclusion dwells upon the fact that the dollar primarily serves as the currency of developing countries, as they predominantly accumulate it. However, the sheer number of these states renders the probability of diversifying risks through potential alliances in the monetary-financial sphere against the dollar practically negligible, with rare exceptions such as the BRICS countries.
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