利用智能电表数据集研究气候变化对能源消耗的影响

Nafeesa Javed, Muhammad Javaid Iqbal, Sohail Masood, Laiba Rehman, Saba Ramzan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

城市地区的用电量高于农村地区,因为城市地区的人口比例高于农村地区。全世界的能源消耗与日俱增,因此有必要为生产者提供最佳的能源消耗计划。另一方面,由于人口增加、线路损耗、劣质材料造成的能源损失,特别是与能源生产相比,使用率的增加等诸多因素,其他各种能源也正成为世界上最常用的能源。这有助于从滥用中节约能源,并合理利用能源。有多种方法可用于预测能源消耗,但在本研究中,我们提出了使用 LSTM、ARIMA 和 Prophet 模型的系统,为智能电表数据集的能源消耗预测提供了良好的解决方案。应用这种方法后,我们得出结论,天气变量是影响能源消耗的主要因素,其中温度的影响大于其他变量。通过使用这些算法对数据集进行预测,并计算出高级可视化图表,证明了拟议系统的性能。
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The Effect of Climate Change on Energy Consumption Using Smart Meter Dataset
Electricity use in the urban areas is more than in the rural areas because the ratio of the population is higher in the urban areas as compared to rural areas. Energy consumption increasing day by day worldwide, so there is a need to give the best plan for the best energy resource consumption to the producers. On the other side, various other energy types are also becoming most useable in the world due to many factors like an increase in usage due to population, line losses, loss of energy due to low-quality material, and especially usage ratio increases as compared to the production of energy. This helps to save energy from misuse and to utilize the energy properly. There are various approaches applied to forecast energy consumption but, in this study, we proposed the system using LSTM, ARIMA, and Prophet model to give the solution for smart meter dataset energy consumption forecasting in a good way. After applying this approach, we conclude that the weather variables are the major factors in energy consumption such that the temperature effect is larger than other variables. The proposed system proves its performance by forecasting the dataset using these algorithms and calculate the high-grade visual graphs. 
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