南美洲南部乌拉圭河流域的极端降水量及其变化趋势

Climate Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI:10.3390/cli12060077
Vanessa Ferreira, O. Bonfim, Rafael Maroneze, L. Mortarini, R. H. Valdes, Felipe Denardin Costa
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摘要

本研究利用气候灾害小组红外降水站(CHIRPS)数据集,分析了乌拉圭河流域(URB)1993 年至 2022 年期间五个极端日降水量指数的空间分布和趋势。主要研究结果表明,乌拉圭河流域中游的强降水(R95p)和极端降水(R99p)事件主要呈上升趋势,而乌拉圭河流域上游和下游则呈下降趋势。在秋季(MAM),强降水和极端降水的频率呈显著变化趋势,城市总体布局中部和上部的大部分地区呈正趋势,而城市总体布局低部呈负趋势。在城市中上游地区,春季(SON)和夏季(DJF)的极端降雨频率也呈负趋势。总体而言,连续湿润日数(CWD)有所减少,这在上城区和中城区北半部尤为明显。此外,上城区连续干旱天数(CDD)总体上有所增加。
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Precipitation Extremes and Trends over the Uruguay River Basin in Southern South America
This study analyzes the spatial distribution and trends in five extreme daily rainfall indices in the Uruguay River Basin (URB) from 1993 to 2022 using the Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) dataset. The main findings reveal a predominantly positive trend in heavy precipitation (R95p) and extreme precipitation (R99p) events over the mid URB, while a negative trend is observed in the upper and low URB. Significant trends in the frequency of heavy and extreme rainfall were observed during autumn (MAM), with positive trends across most of the mid and upper URB and negative trends in the low URB. In the upper URB, negative trends in the frequency of extremes were also found during spring (SON) and summer (DJF). Overall, there was a reduction in the number of consecutive wet days (CWD), particularly significant in the upper URB and the northern half of the mid URB. Additionally, the upper URB experienced an overall increase in the duration of consecutive dry days (CDD).
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