金融发展和贸易开放对经济增长的影响:卢森堡的时间序列证据

Asra Jabbar, Iftikha Ahmad, A. Sultan, Javed Iqbal
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摘要

金融深化和贸易开放是经济增长的重要推动力之一。金融部门的自由化会促进投资者,从而推动任何经济体的生产活动。另一方面,出口商和进口商共同促进贸易活动,从而推动任何经济体的产出数量。基于这一直觉,本研究旨在探究金融发展和贸易开放对卢森堡经济增长的影响。本研究对 1980 年至 2020 年的年度数据序列进行了 ARDL 边界检验,实证结果表明,贸易开放度和金融发展对经济增长有显著的促进作用。研究结果进一步证实,资本存量对经济增长具有显著的递增影响。在这三个驱动因素中,贸易是促进经济增长的最强驱动因素。最后,劳动力被认为与所选经济体无关。这些结果得到了所有诊断测试的支持。为了促进卢森堡的经济活动,应该对贸易开放度、金融发展和资本积累进行监管,使其在选定国家保持生产友好型。
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The Impact of Financial Development and Trade Openness on Economic Growth: Time Series Evidence from Luxembourg
Financial deepening and trade openness are among one of the important drivers of economic growth. Liberalized financial sector promote investors and this boosts up production activities in any economy. On the other side, both exporters and importers together promote trading activities and this encourages quantity of output in any economy. Based on this intuition, this study is structured to inquire the effects of financial development and trade openness on economic growth for Luxembourg economy. This research uses ARDL bounds test for an annual data series from 1980 to 2020 and empirical results suggests that trade openness and financial development have significant and appreciating impact on economic growth. The results further confirm that capital stock has significant and increasing impact on economic growth. Among all these three drivers, trade is the strongest driver that boosts economic growth. Lastly, labor force is witnessed as irrelevant driver for the selected economy. These results are supported by all the diagnostic tests. In order to give boost to economic activities in Luxembourg, trade openness, financial development and capital accumulation should be regulated in such a way that they may remain production friendly in selected country.
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