基于灰色-熵-灾难递进法的光伏产业链复原力评价模型:江苏省案例研究

IF 3.2 3区 工程技术 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Grey Systems-Theory and Application Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI:10.1108/gs-09-2023-0085
Lan Xu, Yaofei Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

设计/方法/途径首先,我们从外部环境和内部条件两个方面设计了光伏产业链的弹性评价指标体系。然后,我们构建了基于灰熵-CPM 的光伏产业链韧性评价模型。研究结果截至 2022 年底,江苏省光伏产业链的恢复力水平为中高恢复力,表明其对当前变幻莫测、竞争激烈的市场具有较强的适应能力,能够及时有效地应对条件变化带来的不确定性影响。实践意义该模型的构建可为光伏产业相关企业分析产业链抗逆性水平、解决产业链抗逆性问题提供参考思路。原创性/价值首先,需要对光伏产业的整个产业链结构进行分析,结合其独特性设计光伏产业链抗逆性评价指标体系。其次,采用灰色关系分析法(GRA)和熵值法改进了CPM评价中指标排序的重要性,构建了基于灰色-熵值-CPM的抗逆性评价模型。
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Resilience evaluation model of photovoltaic industry chain based on grey-entropy-catastrophe progression method: a case study of Jiangsu province

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to establish a grey-entropy-catastrophe progression method (CPM) model to assess the photovoltaic (PV) industry chain resilience of Jiangsu Province in China.

Design/methodology/approach

First, we designed the resilience evaluation index system of such a chain from two aspects: the external environment and internal conditions. We then constructed a PV industry chain resilience evaluation model based on the grey-entropy-CPM. Finally, the feasibility and applicability of the proposed model were verified via an empirical case study analysis of Jiangsu Province in China.

Findings

As of the end of 2022, the resilience level of its PV industry chain is medium-high resilience, which indicates a high degree of adaptability to the current unpredictable and competitive market, and can respond to the uncertain impact of changes in conditions effectively and in a timely manner.

Practical implications

The construction of this model can provide reference ideas for related enterprises in the PV industry to analyze the resilience level of the industrial chain and solve the problem of industrial chain resilience.

Originality/value

Firstly, an analysis of the entire industrial chain structure of the PV industry, combined with its unique characteristics is needed to design a PV industry chain resilience evaluation index system. Second, grey relational analysis (GRA) and the entropy method were adopted to improve the importance of ranking the indicators in the evaluation of the CPM, and a resilience evaluation model based on grey-entropy-CPM was constructed.

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来源期刊
Grey Systems-Theory and Application
Grey Systems-Theory and Application MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-
CiteScore
4.80
自引率
13.80%
发文量
22
期刊最新文献
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