气候、技术与价值:电动汽车大规模消费头十年的启示

Gøril L. Andreassen, Jo Thori Lind
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摘要

采用低碳技术是减缓气候变化的关键。技术快速进步可能带来的一个不良后果是,产品在其技术寿命结束之前就已经过时。我们研究了以技术快速进步为特征的电动汽车的市场价值在其生命周期内的下降速度是否快于代表成熟技术的汽油汽车。我们使用了挪威的新数据,挪威是世界上电动汽车市场份额最高的市场。数据来自最大的二手车网络平台,时间跨度为 2011-2021 年。电动汽车价格的下降速度快于汽油汽车。这似乎是由行驶里程低于中位数的电动汽车驱动的。我们假设,价格大幅下降的主要原因是电动汽车技术的快速改进。
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Climate, Technology and Value: Insights from the First Decade with Mass-Consumption of Electric Vehicles

Adoption of low-carbon technology is key to mitigating climate change. A possible unwanted consequence of fast technological progress is that products get outdated before their technical lifetime is over. We investigate whether the market value of electric vehicles, characterized by rapid technological progress, declines faster over their lifetime than gasoline vehicles, which represent a mature technology. We use novel data from Norway, the market with the highest market shares for electric vehicles in the world. The data are from the largest web platform for secondhand vehicles over the period 2011–2021. Prices of electric vehicles decline faster than gasoline vehicles. This seems to be driven by the electric vehicles with below median driving range. We hypothesize that the large price drop is mainly due to the fast technological improvement of electric vehicles.

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