利用残余长短期记忆预测热带东民丹岛水域的潮位

Agsanshina Raka Syakti, Syahri Rhamadhan, Ghora Laziola, Pahrizal Pahrizal, Dony Apdillah, Nola Ritha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

海洋为社会带来诸多益处,尤其是对印度尼西亚这样的海洋国家而言。各行各业的潜力只受到投资方意愿的限制。其中一项投资就是学习从海洋中收集到的知识和信息,甚至利用足够的数据预测海洋的行为。我们将使用残差 LSTM 算法来预测民丹岛东部的潮汐水位,民丹岛是马来半岛顶端的一个热带岛屿。数据集来自民丹岛东部海岸的两个传感器点,时间跨度为 2018 年 7 月至 2019 年 6 月,为期一年,共计 7961 个数据点。残差 LSTM 模型由两个连续 LSTM 层和一个密集层的残差包装器组成。该模型还与 LSTM 和 RNN 模型的变体进行了比较。残差 LSTM 模型的 MAE 值为 0.1495 厘米,RMSE 值为 0.3353 厘米,而基线模型的 MAE 值和 RMSE 值分别为 1.1148 厘米和 1.4107 厘米。与基准模型相比,该模型的 RMSE 值也提高了 76.23%。
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Predicting tidal level in tropical Eastern Bintan waters using residual long short-term memory
The sea brings many benefits for society, especially for a maritime country such as Indonesia. The potential in various sectors is limited only by the willingness of a party to invest in it. One such investment is in learning the knowledge and information that can be gathered from the sea, and even predicting its behavior with enough data. Using a residual LSTM algorithm, we will predict the tidal level in eastern Bintan island, a tropical island on the tip of Malay peninsula. The dataset is acquired from two sensor points in eastern Bintan coast from July 2018 to June 2019 for a span of one year, giving a total of 7,961 data points. The residual LSTM model consists of a residual wrapper with two consecutive LSTM layers and one dense layer. The model is also compared with variations of LSTM and RNN models. The result of the residual LSTM model has an MAE value of 0.1495 cm and an RMSE value of 0.3353 cm, compared to the baseline model’s 1.1148 cm and 1.4107 cm respectively. The model also has an RMSE value improvement of 76.23% compared to the base model.
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