Tawakalt A. Ayoola, Amos O. Popoola, Morufu O. Olayiwola, Adedapo I. Alaje
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Mathematical modeling of chickenpox transmission using the Laplace Adomian Decomposition Method
In this work, mathematical modeling of a nonlinear differential equation was studied to investigate the effect of vaccination on the spread of chickenpox. The proof of existence and uniqueness of the positive solution and invariant region showed that the model is epidemiologically sound. We established the disease-free and endemic equilibrium states and carried out a stability analysis of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium states of the model to gain insight into the dynamics of the model. The rate of vaccination and precaution for the spread of chickenpox was a factor that influenced the basic reproductive number, which was calculated using the next-generation matrix approach. Forecasts made via numerical simulation using the Laplace Adomian Decomposition method highlight the temporal impact of vaccination on curbing the chicken pox trend.