资本所得税和开放式政府经济中的社会保障改革

IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI:10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104878
Krzysztof Makarski , Joanna Tyrowicz , Oliwia Komada
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着老年人寿命的延长,改革社会保障可以提高效率,减轻未来的财政压力。然而,改革会产生过渡性的财政成本,并降低对收入风险的保险,而这正是当前美国社会保障的内涵。我们的研究表明,如果通过增加资本所得税来弥补这一过渡性财政成本,那么效率收益就会被充分放大,从而超过改革成本。我们的结果源于拉姆齐法则:老年人寿命的延长会降低资本对增税的反应。我们的结果与现有文献相吻合。我们的结果对许多发达经济体都具有政策意义,这些经济体目前的社会保障是再分配的,而且由于老年人寿命的延长而越来越不平衡。
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Capital income taxation and reforming social security in an OLG economy

Reforming social security can improve efficiency and reduce future fiscal strain, emerging with the rising old-age longevity. However, it generates transitory fiscal cost and reduces insurance against income risk, which is embedded in current US social security. We show that if that transitory fiscal cost is financed through increased capital income taxation, the efficiency gains can be amplified sufficiently to outweigh the costs of the reform. Our result stems from the Ramsey rule: rising old-age longevity makes capital less responsive to tax hikes. We reconcile our results with the existing literature. Our results are of policy relevance for many advanced economies which currently feature redistributive and increasingly unbalanced social security due to rising old-age longevity.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
10.50%
发文量
199
期刊介绍: The journal provides an outlet for publication of research concerning all theoretical and empirical aspects of economic dynamics and control as well as the development and use of computational methods in economics and finance. Contributions regarding computational methods may include, but are not restricted to, artificial intelligence, databases, decision support systems, genetic algorithms, modelling languages, neural networks, numerical algorithms for optimization, control and equilibria, parallel computing and qualitative reasoning.
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