印度哈罗哈-彭彭盆地气象干旱期间标准化降水指数 (SPI) 和降雨异常指数 (RAI) 的频率和强度比较

Ishika Singh, Alok Kumar Mishra, Shakti Suryavanshi, A. Sherring, Mukesh Kumar
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摘要

干旱 "一词指由于降水量不足、蒸发率过高以及过度使用水库和其他储存水(包括地下水)而造成的长时间缺水。干旱是一种缓慢发生的现象,会对社会、经济和环境产生重大影响。由于人为和自然因素,全球干旱的频率和严重程度都在增加。本研究考察了 SPI(3、6、12 个月时间尺度)和 RAI(降雨异常指数)在识别印度农业生态区 70 年(1951 年至 2021 年)干旱发生情况方面的表现。RAI 和 SPI 值是利用位于哈罗哈尔-蓬蓬盆地的 9 个气象站的降雨数据计算得出的。结果表明,在检测实际发生的历史记录方面,RAI 比 SPI 更有能力。此外,在确定短期和长期干旱方面,RAI 比 SPI 更有效。由于 RAI 能够更好地捕捉哈罗哈尔-朋朋盆地旱情的真实情况,因此似乎对旱情反应更灵敏。研究显示,干旱的主要原因包括降水量的微小变化、地下水的蓄意抽取、种植模式的改变以及土地利用的重大变化。地区规划者和管理者一定会发现这项科学研究和流域综合管理方法在水资源可持续管理方面的用途,尤其是在该地区。
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A Comparison of the Frequency and Intensity of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Rainfall Anomaly Index (RAI) during the Meteorological Drought across Harohar-Punpun Basin (India)
The term "drought" applies to a prolonged period when there is a water shortage because of insufficient precipitation, an excessive rate of evaporation, and excessive use of water from reservoirs and other storage, including ground water. It is a slow-onset phenomenon that can have significant social, economic, and environmental impacts. Both the frequency and severity of droughts are increasing globally due to manmade and natural factors. This study looked at how well SPIs (3, 6, 12-month time scales) and RAI (Rainfall Anomaly Index) performed at identifying drought occurrences over a period of 70 years (1951 to 2021) in India's Agro-Ecological Zones. The RAI and SPI values were computed using rainfall data from 9 meteorological stations located throughout the Harohar- Punpun Basin. According to the results, the RAI is more capable than SPIs in detecting historical records of actual occurrences. Additionally, RAI is more effective than SPIs for determining both short- and long-term droughts. Since RAI can better capture the true nature of the drought situation in the Harohar-Punpun Basin, it appears to be more responsive to drought circumstances. The primary causes of drought, according to the study, include minor variations in precipitation, willful ground water removal, changing cropping patterns, and substantial changes in land use. Regional planners and administrators will surely find use for this scientific study and integrated watershed management methods for sustainable water resource management, particularly for this region.
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