拉丁美洲企业所得税收入的决定因素

Dian Irsalina Listikarini, Suparna Wijaya
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摘要

税收被视为促进包容性经济增长和实现可持续发展目标的重要财政政策工具。拉丁美洲作为自然资源潜力巨大的地区,由于执法、税收优惠和关税削减等问题,税基仍然狭窄。企业所得税在 2019 年大幅增加了拉丁美洲/拉加地区约 3.7% 的 GDP 收入,这一点值得研究。因此,本研究旨在探讨拉丁美洲企业所得税收入的决定因素。本研究使用了 2008-2018 年期间拉丁美洲 12 个国家的面板数据。采用的统计方法是多元线性回归的定量方法。根据检验,面板校正标准误差估计模型是最佳模型。结果表明,所有独立变量同时影响税收。经济增长、外国直接投资流入量、土地面积和贸易开放度等变量对企业所得税收入有部分显著的正向影响。同时,税收吸引力指数变量对拉美国家的企业所得税收入有显著的负面影响。此外,从缓和变量来看,贸易开放度仅能缓和外国直接投资流入量与企业所得税收入之间的关系,且效果较弱,未能缓和经济增长与企业所得税收入之间的关系。根据本研究的结果,有必要进一步审查拉丁美洲的国际贸易政策,因为贸易开放度仍然倾向于对外国直接投资流入量与企业所得税收入之间的正相关关系没有影响,甚至有所削弱。
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Determinants Of Corporate Income Tax Revenue In Latin America
Taxes are considered as an important fiscal policy tool in catalyzing inclusive economic growth and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. Latin America as a region with great natural resource potential, still has a narrow tax base due to problems of law enforcement, tax incentives and tariff reductions. The corporate income tax that significantly increases revenue in the Latin America/LAC region in 2019 around 3.7 percent of GDP is interesting to study. Therefore, this research was conducted to examine the determinants of corporate income tax revenue in the Latin American. This study uses panel data on 12 countries in Latin America in the 2008-2018 period. The statistical method used is a quantitative method with multiple linear regression. Based on testing the panel-corrected standard error estimation model is the best model. The results show that all  independent  variables  simultaneously affect tax revenue. The variables of economic growth, FDI inflows, land area, and trade openness partially have a significant positive effect on corporate income tax revenues. Meanwhile, the tax attractiveness index variable has a significant negative effect on corporate income tax revenue in the Latin American. In addition, from the moderating variable, trade openness only managed to moderate the relationship between FDI inflows and corporate income tax revenues with a weakening result, and failed to moderate the relationship between economic growth and corporate income tax revenues. Based on the results of this study, it is necessary to further review the international trade policies in the Latin American because trade openness still tends to have no effect and even weaken the positive relationship between FDI inflows and corporate income tax revenues.
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