斯里兰卡能否在 2050 年前实现净零排放?- 可再生能源现状、机遇、挑战和建议

Isuru Koswatte , Janith Iddawala , Rekha Kulasekara , Praveen Ranaweera , Chamila H. Dasanayaka , Chamil Abeykoon
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摘要

斯里兰卡作为一个国家,在利用太阳能、风能和水能等可再生能源方面潜力巨大。然而,截至 2018 年,斯里兰卡仅有 39% 的能源发电能力是通过可再生能源利用的。过去几年来,电力能源需求的持续增长和汽车保有量的急剧增加,导致斯里兰卡每年的大部分收入都用于从外国购买化石燃料。由于预计化石燃料储备将出现短缺,并且会向环境排放出意想不到的有害气体,这使斯里兰卡的未来面临风险。与此同时,斯里兰卡还制定了到 2050 年实现净零排放的宏伟计划。本研究进行了系统回顾和时间序列分析,首先确定了该国可再生能源发展的现状,并通过时间序列分析认识到这些努力中存在的任何差异。初步研究结果表明,相关机构之间缺乏协调,政府政策相互矛盾,如增加对不可再生能源的投资,以及放弃提供促进企业和小型实体使用可再生能源所需的初始投资。该研究进一步指出,交通和不可再生能源发电活动等部门是阻碍该国制定可行计划,到 2050 年实现净零排放的两大主要障碍。从非政府组织的角度来看,该研究还认识到广大民众对转用可再生能源的长期益处缺乏了解和认识。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Can Sri Lanka be a net-zero nation by 2050?—Current renewable energy profile, opportunities, challenges, and recommendations

Sri Lanka as a country has tremendous potential for harnessing energy from renewable sources such as solar, wind, and hydro. However, as of 2018, only 39 % of Sri Lanka's energy generation capacity was harnessed through renewable energy sources. The continuous increase in electrical energy demand and the drastic increase in vehicle population over the past few years have resulted in much of its annual income being spent on purchasing fossil fuels from foreign countries. This has placed the country's future at risk due to the predicted shortage of fossil fuel reserves and in release of an unexpected level of harmful emissions to the environment. In the meantime, Sri Lanka also has an ambitious plan of achieving Net Zero by 2050. The study conducted a systematic review followed by a time series analysis to first identify the present state of the renewable energy progress of the country and through the time series analysis recognize any discrepancies in these efforts. The initial findings revealed the lack of coordination amongst relevant institutions and contrasting government policies such as the increase in investment for non-renewable energy resources as well as backing away from providing initial investment needed to boost the usage of renewable sources for businesses and smaller entities. The study further identified sectors such as transportation and non-renewable power generation activities as the two main barriers deterring the country from having a feasible plan for its efforts for net zero by 2050. From a non-governmental perspective, the study also recognized the knowledge gap and lack of awareness in the wider population of the long-term benefits of switching to renewable sources.

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