分析 COVID-19 模型中受环境影响的自我保护和隔离措施。

IF 2.6 4区 工程技术 Q1 Mathematics Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI:10.3934/mbe.2024213
Jiangbo Hao, Lirong Huang, Maoxing Liu, Yangjun Ma
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自 COVID-19 在全球爆发以来,该病毒不断发生变异,可以在空气中长期存活。本文建立并分析了受环境中病毒影响的具有自我保护和隔离措施的 COVID-19 模型,以研究环境中病毒对疫情扩散的影响,并制定合理的防控措施来控制疫情的扩散。计算了基本繁殖数,并构建了 Lyapunov 函数,以讨论模型平衡点的稳定性。利用 2022 年 11 月 1 日至 11 月 25 日重庆 COVID-19 病例数据对模型进行了拟合。在数值分析的基础上,得出以下结论:清除环境中的病毒和加强对感染者的隔离措施可以在一定程度上控制疫情,但加强个人的自我防护更能有效降低感染风险和控制疫情传播,更有利于实际应用。
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Analysis of the COVID-19 model with self-protection and isolation measures affected by the environment.

Since the global outbreak of COVID-19, the virus has continuously mutated and can survive in the air for long periods of time. This paper establishes and analyzes a model of COVID-19 with self-protection and quarantine measures affected by viruses in the environment to investigate the influence of viruses in the environment on the spread of the outbreak, as well as to develop a rational prevention and control measure to control the spread of the outbreak. The basic reproduction number was calculated and Lyapunov functions were constructed to discuss the stability of the model equilibrium points. The disease-free equilibrium point was proven to be globally asymptotically stable when $ R_0 < 1 $, and the endemic equilibrium point was globally asymptotically stable when $ R_0 > 1 $. The model was fitted using data from COVID-19 cases in Chongqing between November 1 to November 25, 2022. Based on the numerical analysis, the following conclusion was obtained: clearing the virus in the environment and strengthening the isolation measures for infected people can control the epidemic to a certain extent, but enhancing the self-protection of individuals can be more effective in reducing the risk of being infected and controlling the transmission of the epidemic, which is more conducive to the practical application.

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来源期刊
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering 工程技术-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
7.70%
发文量
586
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering (MBE) is an interdisciplinary Open Access journal promoting cutting-edge research, technology transfer and knowledge translation about complex data and information processing. MBE publishes Research articles (long and original research); Communications (short and novel research); Expository papers; Technology Transfer and Knowledge Translation reports (description of new technologies and products); Announcements and Industrial Progress and News (announcements and even advertisement, including major conferences).
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