从用电量评估灌溉供水的实用高效方法:中国泗阳县案例研究

Yazhou Qin, Yansong Cui
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摘要

为促进中国农业水权交易改革,提高农业灌溉效率,本研究引入了一种有效实用的方法,即从用电量到灌溉供水量的换算系数法(CCECIWS)。本研究对该方法在泗阳县的应用进行了细致的调查。首先,采用四种测量策略精确估算泗阳县农业灌溉水泵(AIWP)的灌溉水量。然后,分析了通过现场测试收集的 CCECIWS 数据和农用灌溉水泵 CCECIWS 的分布模式,并划定了不同群体的 CCECIWS 值范围。通过联合分析,量化了两个因素对 CCECIWS 的影响。最后,建立并验证了三个回归模型,以预测未进行现场测试的剩余 60% 的人工岛工作方案的 CCECIWS。预测结果表明,回归模型的准确性可以接受。本研究的贡献在于提供了一种实用高效的 CCECIWS 方法来间接评估灌溉供水量,既节省了时间又节约了经济成本,并为今后该课题的研究奠定了基础。
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A practical and efficient approach to evaluating the irrigation water supply from electricity consumption: A case study in Siyang County, China
To facilitate agricultural water rights trading reform in China and improve the efficiency of agricultural irrigation, an effective and practical approach called the conversion coefficient from electricity consumption to irrigation water supply (CCECIWS) method is introduced in this study. Application of this method in Siyang County is meticulously investigated. First, four measurement strategies are employed for the precise estimation of the volume of irrigation water from agricultural irrigation water pumps (AIWPs) in Siyang County. Then, the CCECIWS data collected through on‐site testing and the distribution pattern of the CCECIWSs of AIWPs are analysed, and the ranges of the CCECIWS values for different groups are delineated. Conjoint analysis is conducted to quantify the influence of two factors on the CCECIWSs. Finally, three regression models are developed and validated to predict the CCECIWSs for the remaining 60% of the total AIWPs, which are not tested on site. The prediction results show that the regression models have acceptable accuracy. The contribution of this research is the provision of a practical and efficient CCECIWS method to indirectly evaluate the irrigation water supply, saving both time and economic costs and laying the foundation for future research on this topic.
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