中亚和西亚微型、小型和中型企业(MSMEs)发展的挑战与机遇

Leyla Huseynova
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摘要

本研究旨在分析与腐败、经商的监管障碍、商业环境的创新性以及确保经济繁荣的机构和政策发展有关的挑战和机遇对中亚-西亚国家中小微企业发展的影响。本文利用亚洲开发银行 2010-2021 年的统计数据,选择了七个中西亚国家。根据亚洲开发银行的 11 项指标(中小微企业数量的绝对值和动态变化、从业人员、对 GDP 的贡献、银行和非银行金融机构的融资情况)和因子分析,计算出中小微企业发展的综合指标。2021 年综合指标最高的是哈萨克斯坦(1.248)、乌兹别克斯坦(1.120)和阿塞拜疆(1.043),最低的是吉尔吉斯斯坦共和国(0.676)。利用时间固定效应的面板回归分析(适用于所有国家),探讨了中小微企业发展综合指标与清廉指数、营商便利指数、全球竞争力指数和全球创新指数之间的联系。影响最大的是 2019 年--随着清廉指数增加一个单位(越高,专家认为腐败越少),中小微企业发展指标增加了 0.26 个单位。随着 "营商便利度指数"、"全球竞争力指数 "和 "全球创新指数 "上升一个单位(上升表示国家评级状况恶化),中小微企业发展综合指标分别下降 0.68、0.69 和 0.67 个单位。
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Challenges and opportunities in the development of micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) in Central and West Asia
The study aims to analyze the impact of challenges and opportunities related to corruption, regulatory barriers to doing business, innovativeness of the business environment, and development of institutions and policies that ensure economic prosperity on the development of MSMEs in Central-Western Asia countries. The paper chooses seven Central-West Asian countries using Asian Development Bank statistics for 2010–2021. Based on eleven indicators of the Asian Development Bank (the absolute values and dynamics of the number of MSMEs, their employees, their contribution to GDP, financing by banks and non-banking financial institutions) and factor analysis, the composite indicator of MSMEs’ development was calculated. The highest levels of the composite indicator in 2021 were observed for Kazakhstan (1.248), Uzbekistan (1.120), and Azerbaijan (1.043), and the lowest values for the Kyrgyz Republic (0.676). Employing a panel regression analysis with time-fixed effects (for all countries), connections between composite indicators of MSMEs’ development and the Corruption Perceptions Index, Ease of Doing Business Index, Global Competitiveness Index, and Global Innovation Index were explored. The greatest impact was in 2019 – with an increase in the Corruption Perceptions Index by one unit (the higher it is, the less corruption is considered by experts), the MSME development indicator increased by 0.26 units. With an increase in the Ease of Doing Business, Global Competitiveness, and Global Innovation Indices by one unit (growth indicates deterioration of the country’s rating position), the composite indicator of MSMEs’ development decreases by 0.68, 0.69, and 0.67 units, respectively.
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