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引用次数: 0
摘要
风险评估可以揭示安全状况的水平,这对公司的安全管理来说是非常重要的信息。考虑到系统风险评估的多重因素和许多因素的模糊性,并利用 Petri 网在建模和推理方面的优势,本文提出了一种基于加权模糊 Petri 网(WFPN)的风险评估方法,该方法将 WFPN 与 SPA-模糊方法相结合。利用 SPA-模糊法在比较两个不同集合的同一性、相反性和差异性特征方面的优势,建立模糊评估的成员函数。本研究重新定义了 WFPN 以建立评估因素之间的关系模型,并提供了基于矩阵的模糊推理算法来并行评估各因素。所提出的风险评估方法的应用通过案例研究进行了说明:化学品储罐区风险评估和加氢站点火事故评估。
Development of a risk assessment approach by combining SPA-fuzzy method with Petri-net
Risk assessment can reveal the level of a safety situation which can be very important info for company safety management. Considering the multiple factors in risk assessment of a system and the vagueness nature of many factors, and using the benefits of the Petri-net in modeling and reasoning, a weighted fuzzy Petri-net (WFPN) based risk assessment approach which combines WFPN with the SPA-fuzzy method is proposed in this paper. The SPA-fuzzy method is utilized to establish the membership functions for fuzzy assessment, taking its advantage in comparing identity, contrary and discrepancy features of two different sets. In this study, the WFPN is redefined to model relationships between assessment factors, and the matrix-based fuzzy reasoning algorithm is provided to assess the factors in parallel. The application of the proposed risk assessment approach is illustrated by case studies: the risk assessment of a chemical storage tank area and the ignition accident assessment of hydrogen refueling stations.
期刊介绍:
The broad scope of the journal is process safety. Process safety is defined as the prevention and mitigation of process-related injuries and damage arising from process incidents involving fire, explosion and toxic release. Such undesired events occur in the process industries during the use, storage, manufacture, handling, and transportation of highly hazardous chemicals.