MGAtt-LSTM: A multi-scale spatial correlation prediction model of PM2.5 concentration based on multi-graph attention

The increase in air pollution has posed numerous new challenges for human society, making the exploration of an effective method for predicting air pollutant concentrations highly significant. The current research faces several primary challenges: the neglect of non-Euclidean characteristics of site distribution on data and the strong spatiotemporal dependencies in the dispersion process of pollutants. To address these issues, this paper constructs a spatiotemporal hybrid prediction model – the MGAtt-LSTM method – for predicting PM_2.5 concentrations, which employs the dynamic multi-graph attention module (MGAtt) to tackle spatial dependencies and Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM) to address temporal dependencies. Additionally, extensive experiments are conducted by using historical air pollutant monitoring data and meteorological data from the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The results demonstrate that the proposed MGAtt-LSTM model achieved superior performance in concentration prediction compared to existing benchmark models.