巴基斯坦的物价水平是否加剧了收入不平等?分类分析

Muhammad Aleem Arshad, Muhammad Ramzan Sheikh, Zeeshan Arif
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摘要

经济政策的重点在于提高经济体中人民的社会福祉。如果社会在经济上两极分化,就会阻碍经济政策产生影响。较少经济学家敢于谈论的关键经济问题是世界上的收入不平等,因为它是一个棘手问题的答案,即谁将从一个经济体的经济增长中获益。尽管世界每年创造数万亿美元的财富,但仍有大量人口被剥夺了食品、卫生、安全、健康和教育等基本需求。通货膨胀对大众的影响使情况进一步恶化。不断攀升的价格水平剥夺了更多人的生活必需品,并导致收入不平等加剧。本研究试图估算通货膨胀对巴基斯坦收入分配的影响。数据收集自《巴基斯坦经济调查》和《巴基斯坦国家银行统计手册》,时间跨度为 1990 年至 2022 年。本研究采用自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)来估算巴基斯坦价格水平与收入不平等之间的联系。研究结果显示,消费物价指数和收入不平等之间既存在正向联系,也存在负向联系。本研究的新颖之处有两点。首先,本研究将消费价格指数(CPI)分解为若干成分,并研究了这些成分对收入不平等的影响。其次,本研究采用了两个代用指标,即 GINI 系数和平均对数偏差(MLD)来估算收入不平等程度。第三,我们采用了数据拼接法[1],从巴基斯坦过去多年来不断变化的各种基年中拼接出一个 CPI 基年。本研究为巴基斯坦的政策制定提供了一些有益的政策启示。
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Does Price Level Increases Income Inequality in Pakistan? A Disaggregated Analysis
The crucial emphasis of economic policies is to enhance socio-c wellbeing of the people in an economy. If the society is economically polarized it hampers the impact of economic policies. The crucial economic problem about which fewer economists gutsy to talk is income inequality in the world because it is the answer to a pinching question that who will benefits from the economic growth in an economy. Despite the generation of trillions of dollars each year in the world, a huge population is deprived of basic needs such as food, sanitation, security, health and education etc. When it comes to the effect of inflation on masses the situation further aggravates. Escalated price levels deprive more people from essential goods and lead towards increasing income inequality. This study has tried to estimate the impact of inflation on income distribution in Pakistan. The data was collected from Pakistan Economic Survey and Handbook of Statistics by SBP for a period of 1990 to 2022. The present study has applied Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) to estimate the linkage among price levels and income inequality in Pakistan. The findings of the study have revealed both positive and negative linkage among constituents of the CPI and the income inequality. The novelty of this study is on two grounds. Firstly, the study has dissolved Consumer Price Index (CPI) into its constituents, and their Impact on income inequality has been examined, as far as finest information available to us this has never been investigated in Pakistan before. Secondly, the study has applied two proxies the GINI coefficient and Mean Log Deviation (MLD) to estimate income inequality. Thirdly, we have applied the data splicing method[1] to make one base year of CPI from various base years that has been changed over the past years in Pakistan. The study offers some useful policy implications for policy formulation in Pakistan.
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