户外休闲活动首选温度的全球变化

IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Journal of Environmental Economics and Management Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI:10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103032
Manuel Linsenmeier
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化的影响将取决于人类社会如何适应更高的温度。在本研究中,我们报告的经验证据表明,生活在较温暖地区的人们更喜欢在较高温度下进行户外休闲活动。为了得出这一结论,我们研究了一个新的全球数据集,该数据集涉及 77 个国家超过 2500 个地点的公园中的手机使用情况。我们用计量经济学方法研究了这个数据集,从天气的日变化中找出户外休闲活动与温度之间的关系。总体而言,我们发现年平均气温每升高 1 摄氏度,户外活动的首选日平均气温就会升高约 0.5 摄氏度。我们解释了如何将这些结果解释为部分适应的证据。我们还说明了忽视适应性会如何使对未来气候变化反应的预测出现偏差。
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Global variation in the preferred temperature for recreational outdoor activity

The impacts of climate change will depend on how human societies adapt to higher temperatures. In this study we report empirical evidence suggesting that people living in warmer places prefer a higher temperature for their recreational outdoor activities. To arrive at this conclusion we examine a novel global dataset of mobile phone usage in parks in more than 2500 locations across 77 countries. We examine this dataset with econometric methods to identify the relationship between outdoor recreation and temperature from daily variation in weather. Overall we find that for every increase in annual mean temperature by 1 degree Celsius, the preferred daily mean temperature for outdoor activity increases by about 0.5 degrees Celsius. We explain how these results can be interpreted as evidence for partial adaptation. We also illustrate how ignoring adaptation can bias projections of future responses to climate change.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
4.30%
发文量
91
期刊介绍: The Journal of Environmental Economics and Management publishes theoretical and empirical papers devoted to specific natural resources and environmental issues. For consideration, papers should (1) contain a substantial element embodying the linkage between economic systems and environmental and natural resources systems or (2) be of substantial importance in understanding the management and/or social control of the economy in its relations with the natural environment. Although the general orientation of the journal is toward economics, interdisciplinary papers by researchers in other fields of interest to resource and environmental economists will be welcomed.
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