{"title":"为预测成年血液系统恶性肿瘤患者在使用大剂量甲氨蝶呤后的甲氨蝶呤延迟排泄量而开发的新型提名图。","authors":"Daisuke Ikeda, Tatsuya Isezaki, Kentaro Narita, Satoshi Yuyama, Mitsuaki Oura, Atsushi Uehara, Rikako Tabata, Masami Takeuchi, Kosei Matsue","doi":"10.1007/s00280-024-04687-z","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>High-dose methotrexate (HDMTX) is integral in treating hematologic malignancies but carries risks of severe toxicities due to prolonged MTX exposure. However, knowledge of delayed MTX excretion is primarily derived from pediatric and adolescent cohorts, with the reported predictors being presented as rough dichotomous values. This study aimed to identify risk factors for delayed MTX excretion exclusively in adult patients with hematologic malignancies and develop a more applicable predictive nomogram based on continuous clinical and laboratory variables.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>517 HDMTX cycles in 194 patients were retrospectively analyzed. Delayed MTX excretion was defined as either MTX concentration ≥ 1.0 µmol/L at 48 h or ≥ 0.1 µmol/L at 72 h after HDMTX initiation. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to construct the nomogram internally validated with the bootstrap method.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Delayed MTX excretion was observed in 24.0% of cycles. Six significant predictors were identified: relapsed/refractory disease (Odds ratio [OR] 2.03), fewer HDMTX cycles (OR 0.771), treatment intent (OR 2.13), lower albumin (OR 0.563) and creatinine clearance levels (OR 0.993), and increased γ-glutamyl transpeptidase levels (OR 1.004, all P < 0.05). These were incorporated into a web-based nomogram as continuous variables with good prediction accuracy (area under the curve, 0.73) and without significant overfitting. Delayed MTX excretion increased risks of developing acute kidney injury, even solely at the 72 h timepoint (OR 2.57, P = 0.025), without providing any benefit of clinical outcomes.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study comprehensively characterized MTX elimination failure following HDMTX in adult patients and could pave the way for individualized risk prediction.</p>","PeriodicalId":9556,"journal":{"name":"Cancer Chemotherapy and Pharmacology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Development of a novel nomogram for predicting delayed methotrexate excretion following high-dose methotrexate in adult patients with hematologic malignancies.\",\"authors\":\"Daisuke Ikeda, Tatsuya Isezaki, Kentaro Narita, Satoshi Yuyama, Mitsuaki Oura, Atsushi Uehara, Rikako Tabata, Masami Takeuchi, Kosei Matsue\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s00280-024-04687-z\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>High-dose methotrexate (HDMTX) is integral in treating hematologic malignancies but carries risks of severe toxicities due to prolonged MTX exposure. However, knowledge of delayed MTX excretion is primarily derived from pediatric and adolescent cohorts, with the reported predictors being presented as rough dichotomous values. This study aimed to identify risk factors for delayed MTX excretion exclusively in adult patients with hematologic malignancies and develop a more applicable predictive nomogram based on continuous clinical and laboratory variables.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>517 HDMTX cycles in 194 patients were retrospectively analyzed. Delayed MTX excretion was defined as either MTX concentration ≥ 1.0 µmol/L at 48 h or ≥ 0.1 µmol/L at 72 h after HDMTX initiation. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to construct the nomogram internally validated with the bootstrap method.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Delayed MTX excretion was observed in 24.0% of cycles. Six significant predictors were identified: relapsed/refractory disease (Odds ratio [OR] 2.03), fewer HDMTX cycles (OR 0.771), treatment intent (OR 2.13), lower albumin (OR 0.563) and creatinine clearance levels (OR 0.993), and increased γ-glutamyl transpeptidase levels (OR 1.004, all P < 0.05). These were incorporated into a web-based nomogram as continuous variables with good prediction accuracy (area under the curve, 0.73) and without significant overfitting. Delayed MTX excretion increased risks of developing acute kidney injury, even solely at the 72 h timepoint (OR 2.57, P = 0.025), without providing any benefit of clinical outcomes.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study comprehensively characterized MTX elimination failure following HDMTX in adult patients and could pave the way for individualized risk prediction.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":9556,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Cancer Chemotherapy and Pharmacology\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Cancer Chemotherapy and Pharmacology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00280-024-04687-z\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2024/6/21 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ONCOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Cancer Chemotherapy and Pharmacology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00280-024-04687-z","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/6/21 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ONCOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Development of a novel nomogram for predicting delayed methotrexate excretion following high-dose methotrexate in adult patients with hematologic malignancies.
Purpose: High-dose methotrexate (HDMTX) is integral in treating hematologic malignancies but carries risks of severe toxicities due to prolonged MTX exposure. However, knowledge of delayed MTX excretion is primarily derived from pediatric and adolescent cohorts, with the reported predictors being presented as rough dichotomous values. This study aimed to identify risk factors for delayed MTX excretion exclusively in adult patients with hematologic malignancies and develop a more applicable predictive nomogram based on continuous clinical and laboratory variables.
Methods: 517 HDMTX cycles in 194 patients were retrospectively analyzed. Delayed MTX excretion was defined as either MTX concentration ≥ 1.0 µmol/L at 48 h or ≥ 0.1 µmol/L at 72 h after HDMTX initiation. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to construct the nomogram internally validated with the bootstrap method.
Results: Delayed MTX excretion was observed in 24.0% of cycles. Six significant predictors were identified: relapsed/refractory disease (Odds ratio [OR] 2.03), fewer HDMTX cycles (OR 0.771), treatment intent (OR 2.13), lower albumin (OR 0.563) and creatinine clearance levels (OR 0.993), and increased γ-glutamyl transpeptidase levels (OR 1.004, all P < 0.05). These were incorporated into a web-based nomogram as continuous variables with good prediction accuracy (area under the curve, 0.73) and without significant overfitting. Delayed MTX excretion increased risks of developing acute kidney injury, even solely at the 72 h timepoint (OR 2.57, P = 0.025), without providing any benefit of clinical outcomes.
Conclusion: This study comprehensively characterized MTX elimination failure following HDMTX in adult patients and could pave the way for individualized risk prediction.
期刊介绍:
Addressing a wide range of pharmacologic and oncologic concerns on both experimental and clinical levels, Cancer Chemotherapy and Pharmacology is an eminent journal in the field. The primary focus in this rapid publication medium is on new anticancer agents, their experimental screening, preclinical toxicology and pharmacology, single and combined drug administration modalities, and clinical phase I, II and III trials. It is essential reading for pharmacologists and oncologists giving results recorded in the following areas: clinical toxicology, pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, drug interactions, and indications for chemotherapy in cancer treatment strategy.