如何做到无动于衷

Noûs Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI:10.1111/nous.12512
Sebastian Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

根据 "冷漠原则",当一组可能性对你来说是证据对称的--当你的证据不再支持任何一种可能性时--你就必须在这些可能性中均匀地分配你的可信度。尽管 "冷漠原则 "具有直观的吸引力,但由于多重分区的问题,人们通常认为它是不可持续的:根据一组可能性的划分方式,似乎有时运用冷漠推理会要求你把不相容的可信度分配给等同的可能性。本文通过提供两个应对指南,从多重分割问题上为冷漠原则辩护。第一种指南是针对理性宽容论者的,以宽容论者的论证为模型,论证了证据体系有时并不能唯一地决定一个完全理性的可信度函数。第二种观点是针对理性的不允许论者的,是以不允许论者的论点为模型的,即证据总是唯一地决定完全理性的可信度函数。对漠视原则提出的看似决定性的反对意见,实际上是以允许论者和不允许论者都熟悉的不同形式提出的一般性挑战的一个实例。
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How to be indifferent
According to the principle of indifference, when a set of possibilities is evidentially symmetric for you – when your evidence no more supports any one of the possibilities over any other – you're required to distribute your credences uniformly among them. Despite its intuitive appeal, the principle of indifference is often thought to be unsustainable due to the problem of multiple partitions: Depending on how a set of possibilities is divided, it seems that sometimes, applying indifference reasoning can require you to assign incompatible credences to equivalent possibilities. This paper defends the principle of indifference from the problem of multiple partitions by offering two guides for how to respond. The first is for permissivists about rationality, and is modeled on permissivists' arguments for the claim that a body of evidence sometimes does not uniquely determine a fully rational credence function. The second is for impermissivists about rationality, and is modeled on impermissivists' arguments for the claim that a body of evidence does always uniquely determine a fully rational credence function. What appears to be a decisive objection against the principle of indifference is in fact an instance of a general challenge taking different forms familiar to both permissivists and impermissivists.
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