现在借,以后还:学生债务偿还计划的定量分析

IF 10.4 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Financial Economics Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI:10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103898
Michael Boutros , Nuno Clara , Francisco Gomes
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在美国,学生债务目前是消费者债务的第二大组成部分。家庭需要在其生命周期的早期偿还这些贷款,而此时的边际效用特别高。我们研究了提供部分或全部还款延期至晚年的替代合同。我们用当前的合同对经济进行校准,然后求解反事实均衡。替代合同产生了巨大的福利收益,这些收益对贷款人行为和借款人偏好的假设是稳健的。这些收益与美国目前正在考虑的债务减免计划可能带来的收益类似,但不会产生不利的财政影响。
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Borrow now, pay even later: A quantitative analysis of student debt payment plans

In the U.S., student debt is currently the second largest component of consumer debt. Households are required to repay these loans early in their lifecycle, when marginal utility is particularly high. We study alternative contracts that offer partial or full payment deferral until later in life. We calibrate an economy with the current contracts, and then solve for counterfactual equilibria. The alternative contracts yield large welfare gains, which are robust to assumptions about the behavior of the lenders and borrower preferences. The gains are similar to those that could come from the debt relief program currently being considered in the U.S., but without its adverse fiscal implications.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
15.80
自引率
4.50%
发文量
192
审稿时长
37 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Financial Economics provides a specialized forum for the publication of research in the area of financial economics and the theory of the firm, placing primary emphasis on the highest quality analytical, empirical, and clinical contributions in the following major areas: capital markets, financial institutions, corporate finance, corporate governance, and the economics of organizations.
期刊最新文献
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