变革时代的转型和复原力:历史视角

IF 12.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123558
Emelie Rohne Till, Sylvia Schwaag Serger, Tobias Axelsson, Martin Andersson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们当前历史时刻的特点是,人们普遍感到(正在发生的和预期的)危机,从而呼吁改变现有的经济、政治、社会和环境体系。这种论调使学术界和政策导向者越来越关注 "变革 "和 "复原力 "的概念。然而,除了关注之外,这些概念也越来越多地出现在政策行动的依据和对其成功的衡量中,这凸显了概念清晰化的必要性。有鉴于此,本文回顾了转型和复原力在文献中的使用情况。这些概念出现在从自然科学到社会科学等广泛的研究领域。然而,定义和背景却大相径庭,这进一步凸显了明确定义的必要性。在本文中,我们将具体探讨两个学科:科学、技术与创新(STI)政策研究和经济史。虽然这两个学科在明确关注社会变革方面是一致的,但它们对这种变革的不同理解,特别是时间方面的理解,为探讨文献中对变革和恢复力的不同理解、使用和定义提供了肥沃的土壤。通过这项工作,本文做出了两项主要贡献。首先,它对文献中如何使用转型和复原力的概念进行了细致的回顾。其次,本文分析了如何从历史的角度理解转型和复原力之间的关系。在承认每个时代都不尽相同的同时,本文还从历史的角度对这些概念进行了归纳,从而为我们这个时代所面临的一个关键挑战提供了一些政策指导:如何在变革时期成功地管理复原力和转型。
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Transformation and resilience in times of change: A historical perspective

Our current historical moment is marked by a widespread sense of (ongoing and anticipated) crises, prompting calls to change existing economic, political, social, and environmental systems. This discourse has directed increased scholarly and policy-orientated attention to the concepts of “transformation” and “resilience.” However, beyond attention, these concepts have increasingly adopted a place in rationales for policy action and measurements of its success, highlighting the need for conceptual clarity. In light of this, this paper reviews the use of transformation and resilience in the literature. These concepts appear across a broad spectrum of research fields, ranging from the natural to the social sciences. However, definitions and contexts vary broadly, further underlining the need for clarity. In this paper, we delve specifically into two disciplines: science, technology, and innovation (STI) policy research and economic history. Although unified in their explicit concern with societal change, the disciplines' different understandings of such change, particularly temporal aspects, offer fertile ground for exploring the divergent understandings, uses, and definitions of transformation and resilience in the literature. Through this work, the paper makes two main contributions. First, it produces a nuanced review of how the literature employs the concepts of transformation and resilience. Second, it offers an analysis of how transformation and resilience can be understood in relation to each other from a historical perspective. By historically anchoring these concepts while acknowledging that every time is different, the paper also offers some policy guidance on a key challenge of our era: how to successfully govern resilience and transformation in times of change.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
21.30
自引率
10.80%
发文量
813
期刊介绍: Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors. In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.
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