DPHM-Net:用于长期序列预测的去冗余多期混合建模网络

Chengdong Zheng, Yuliang Shi, Wu Lee, Lin Cheng, Xinjun Wang, Zhongmin Yan, Fanyu Kong
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摘要

深度学习模型已被广泛应用于长期预测领域,并取得了显著成效,其中结合周期性等归纳偏差对时间序列的多粒度表示进行建模是预测方法中常用的设计方法。然而,现有方法在提取归纳偏差和学习多粒度特征的过程中仍然面临着与信息冗余有关的挑战。冗余信息的存在会阻碍模型获得全面的时间表示,从而对其预测性能产生不利影响。针对上述问题,我们提出了一种去冗余多期混合建模网络(DPHM-Net),它能有效消除时间序列表征学习中序列归纳偏差提取机制和多粒度序列特征中的冗余信息。在 DPHM-Net 中,我们提出了一种基于周期归纳偏差的高效时间序列表示学习过程,并将多个时间序列之间的去冗余概念引入到单个时间序列的表示学习过程中。此外,我们还设计了一个专门的门控单元来动态平衡序列特征和冗余语义信息之间的消除权重。通过在真实世界数据集上进行大量实验,证明了我们的方法在长期预测任务中的先进性能和高效率,与之前的先进方法相比毫不逊色。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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DPHM-Net:de-redundant multi-period hybrid modeling network for long-term series forecasting

Deep learning models have been widely applied in the field of long-term forecasting has achieved significant success, with the incorporation of inductive bias such as periodicity to model multi-granularity representations of time series being a commonly employed design approach in forecasting methods. However, existing methods still face challenges related to information redundancy during the extraction of inductive bias and the learning process for multi-granularity features. The presence of redundant information can impede the acquisition of a comprehensive temporal representation by the model, thereby adversely impacting its predictive performance. To address the aforementioned issues, we propose a De-Redundant Multi-Period Hybrid Modeling Network (DPHM-Net) that effectively eliminates redundant information from the series inductive bias extraction mechanism and the multi-granularity series features in the time series representation learning. In DPHM-Net, we propose an efficient time series representation learning process based on a period inductive bias and introduce the concept of de-redundancy among multiple time series into the representation learning process for single time series. Additionally, we design a specialized gated unit to dynamically balance the elimination weights between series features and redundant semantic information. The advanced performance and high efficiency of our method in long-term forecasting tasks against previous state-of-the-art are demonstrated through extensive experiments on real-world datasets.

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