淤积海滩形态动力学建模中强迫源的作用

IF 2.8 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Earth Surface Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI:10.5194/esurf-12-819-2024
Nil Carrion-Bertran, Albert Falqués, Francesca Ribas, Daniel Calvete, Rinse de Swart, Ruth Durán, Candela Marco-Peretó, Marta Marcos, Angel Amores, Tim Toomey, Àngels Fernández-Mora, Jorge Guillén
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要研究了二维沿岸地区(XBeach)和简化(Q2Dmorfo)形态动力学模式对不同强迫源的敏感性。通过模拟地中海西北部一个内陷海滩 6 个月的形态动力响应,对模型进行了测试。使用了来自原位数据、传播浮标测量数据、后报数据以及这些不同数据源组合的波浪和海平面作用力,并将输出结果与原位测深数据进行了比较。结果表明,当这两个模型与现场测量数据进行校准时,它们都能准确地再现形态动力学的演变过程,且布赖尔技能评分(BSS)为 "良好"。与默认设置相比,校准过程减少了 65%-85% 的误差。浮标传播的波浪数据也能产生可靠的形态动力模拟,但 BSS 略有下降。相反,当模型使用后报波浪数据时,模型与观测到的海滩演变之间的不匹配增加。这在很大程度上归因于后报波浪的平均方向有偏差。有趣的是,在这个小潮位点,模拟的准确性几乎不取决于海平面数据源,使用过滤或非过滤潮汐也能得到相似的结果。这些结果对长期形态动力学研究(如验证气候变化预测模型所需的研究)具有重要意义,强调了使用精确的强迫源(如通过传播浮标数据获得的强迫源)的必要性。
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Role of the forcing sources in morphodynamic modelling of an embayed beach
Abstract. The sensitivity of a 2DH coastal area (XBeach) and a reduced-complexity (Q2Dmorfo) morphodynamic model to using different forcing sources is studied. The models are tested by simulating the morphodynamic response of an embayed beach in the NW Mediterranean over a 6-month period. Wave and sea-level forcing from in situ data, propagated buoy measurements, and hindcasts, as well as combinations of these different data sources, are used, and the outputs are compared to in situ bathymetric measurements. Results show that when the two models are calibrated with in situ measurements, they accurately reproduce the morphodynamic evolution with a “good” Brier skill score (BSS). The calibration process reduces the errors by 65 %–85 % compared with the default setting. The wave data propagated from the buoy also produce reliable morphodynamic simulations but with a slight decrease in the BSS. Conversely, when the models are forced with hindcast wave data, the mismatch between the modelled and observed beach evolution increases. This is attributed to a large extent to biased mean directions in hindcast waves. Interestingly, in this small tide site, the accuracy of the simulations hardly depends on the sea-level data source, and using filtered or non-filtered tides also yields similar results. These results have implications for long-term morphodynamic studies, like those needed to validate models for climate change projections, emphasizing the need to use accurate forcing sources such as those obtained by propagating buoy data.
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来源期刊
Earth Surface Dynamics
Earth Surface Dynamics GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICALGEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCI-GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
5.90%
发文量
56
审稿时长
20 weeks
期刊介绍: Earth Surface Dynamics (ESurf) is an international scientific journal dedicated to the publication and discussion of high-quality research on the physical, chemical, and biological processes shaping Earth''s surface and their interactions on all scales.
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