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Exotic tree plantations in the Chilean Coastal Range: balancing the effects of discrete disturbances, connectivity, and a persistent drought on catchment erosion 智利海岸山脉的外来植树造林:平衡离散干扰、连通性和持续干旱对集水区侵蚀的影响
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.5194/esurf-12-841-2024
Violeta Tolorza, Christian H. Mohr, Mauricio Zambrano-Bigiarini, Benjamín Sotomayor, Dagoberto Poblete-Caballero, Sebastien Carretier, Mauricio Galleguillos, Oscar Seguel
Abstract. The Chilean Coastal Range, located in the Mediterranean segment of Chile, is a soil-mantled landscape with the potential to store valuable freshwater supplies and support a biodiverse native forest. Nevertheless, human intervention has been increasing soil erosion for ∼ 200 years, culminating in the intense management of exotic tree plantations throughout the last ∼ 45 years. At the same time, this landscape has been severely affected by a prolonged megadrought. As a result, this combination of stressors complicates disentangling the effects of anthropogenic disturbances and hydroclimatic trends on sediment fluxes at the catchment scale. In this study, we calculate decennial catchment erosion rates from suspended-sediment loads and compare them with a millennial catchment denudation rate estimated from detrital 10Be. We then contrast both of these rates with the effects of discrete anthropogenic-disturbance events and hydroclimatic trends. Erosion and denudation rates are similar in magnitude on decennial and millennial timescales, i.e., 0.018 ± 0.005 and 0.024 ± 0.004 mm yr−1, respectively. Recent human-made disturbances include logging operations throughout all seasons and a dense network of forestry roads, thereby increasing structural sediment connectivity. Further disturbances include two widespread wildfires (2015 and 2017) and an earthquake with an Mw value of 8.8 in 2010. We observe decreased suspended-sediment loads during the wet seasons for the period 1986–2018, coinciding with declining streamflow, baseflow, and rainfall. The low millennial denudation rate aligns with a landscape dominated by slow diffusive soil creep. However, the low decennial erosion rate and the decrease in suspended sediment disagree with the expected effect of intense anthropogenic disturbances and increased structural (sediment) connectivity. Such a paradox suggests that suspended-sediment loads, and thus respective catchment erosion, are underestimated and that decennial sediment detachment and transport have been masked by decreasing rainfall and streamflow (i.e., weakened hydroclimatic drivers). Our findings indicate that human-made disturbances and hydrologic trends may result in opposite, partially offsetting effects on recent erosion, yet both contribute to landscape degradation.
摘要智利海岸山脉位于智利的地中海地区,是一片土壤覆盖的地貌,具有储存宝贵的淡水资源和支持生物多样性的本地森林的潜力。然而,在过去的 200 多年里,人类的干预加剧了土壤侵蚀,在过去的 45 年里,外来树木种植园的密集管理更是达到了顶峰。与此同时,这一地貌还受到了长期特大干旱的严重影响。因此,这些压力因素的结合使得在流域尺度上厘清人为干扰和水文气候趋势对沉积物通量的影响变得更加复杂。在这项研究中,我们根据悬浮物载荷计算出了十年一度的集水区侵蚀率,并将其与根据 10Be 碎片估算出的千年一度的集水区剥蚀率进行了比较。然后,我们将这两种速率与离散的人为干扰事件和水文气候趋势的影响进行对比。在十年和千年时间尺度上,侵蚀和剥蚀速率的大小相似,即分别为 0.018 ± 0.005 和 0.024 ± 0.004 毫米/年-1。近期的人为干扰包括四季伐木作业和密集的林道网络,从而增加了结构沉积物的连通性。其他干扰还包括两次大范围野火(2015 年和 2017 年)以及 2010 年发生的一次 Mw 值为 8.8 的地震。我们观察到,1986 年至 2018 年期间,雨季的悬浮泥沙负荷有所下降,这与溪流、基流和降雨量的下降相吻合。较低的千年侵蚀率与以缓慢扩散的土壤蠕动为主的地貌相吻合。然而,低十年侵蚀率和悬浮沉积物的减少与强烈人为干扰和结构(沉积物)连通性增加的预期效果不符。这种自相矛盾的现象表明,悬浮泥沙负荷以及相应的集水侵蚀作用被低估了,而且降雨量和溪流的减少(即水文气候驱动力减弱)掩盖了十年期泥沙剥离和迁移的作用。我们的研究结果表明,人为干扰和水文趋势可能会对近期侵蚀产生相反的、部分抵消的影响,但两者都会导致地貌退化。
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引用次数: 0
Role of the forcing sources in morphodynamic modelling of an embayed beach 淤积海滩形态动力学建模中强迫源的作用
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.5194/esurf-12-819-2024
Nil Carrion-Bertran, Albert Falqués, Francesca Ribas, Daniel Calvete, Rinse de Swart, Ruth Durán, Candela Marco-Peretó, Marta Marcos, Angel Amores, Tim Toomey, Àngels Fernández-Mora, Jorge Guillén
Abstract. The sensitivity of a 2DH coastal area (XBeach) and a reduced-complexity (Q2Dmorfo) morphodynamic model to using different forcing sources is studied. The models are tested by simulating the morphodynamic response of an embayed beach in the NW Mediterranean over a 6-month period. Wave and sea-level forcing from in situ data, propagated buoy measurements, and hindcasts, as well as combinations of these different data sources, are used, and the outputs are compared to in situ bathymetric measurements. Results show that when the two models are calibrated with in situ measurements, they accurately reproduce the morphodynamic evolution with a “good” Brier skill score (BSS). The calibration process reduces the errors by 65 %–85 % compared with the default setting. The wave data propagated from the buoy also produce reliable morphodynamic simulations but with a slight decrease in the BSS. Conversely, when the models are forced with hindcast wave data, the mismatch between the modelled and observed beach evolution increases. This is attributed to a large extent to biased mean directions in hindcast waves. Interestingly, in this small tide site, the accuracy of the simulations hardly depends on the sea-level data source, and using filtered or non-filtered tides also yields similar results. These results have implications for long-term morphodynamic studies, like those needed to validate models for climate change projections, emphasizing the need to use accurate forcing sources such as those obtained by propagating buoy data.
摘要研究了二维沿岸地区(XBeach)和简化(Q2Dmorfo)形态动力学模式对不同强迫源的敏感性。通过模拟地中海西北部一个内陷海滩 6 个月的形态动力响应,对模型进行了测试。使用了来自原位数据、传播浮标测量数据、后报数据以及这些不同数据源组合的波浪和海平面作用力,并将输出结果与原位测深数据进行了比较。结果表明,当这两个模型与现场测量数据进行校准时,它们都能准确地再现形态动力学的演变过程,且布赖尔技能评分(BSS)为 "良好"。与默认设置相比,校准过程减少了 65%-85% 的误差。浮标传播的波浪数据也能产生可靠的形态动力模拟,但 BSS 略有下降。相反,当模型使用后报波浪数据时,模型与观测到的海滩演变之间的不匹配增加。这在很大程度上归因于后报波浪的平均方向有偏差。有趣的是,在这个小潮位点,模拟的准确性几乎不取决于海平面数据源,使用过滤或非过滤潮汐也能得到相似的结果。这些结果对长期形态动力学研究(如验证气候变化预测模型所需的研究)具有重要意义,强调了使用精确的强迫源(如通过传播浮标数据获得的强迫源)的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Equilibrium distance from long-range dune interactions 远距离沙丘相互作用的平衡距离
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-06-20 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1634
Jean Vérité, Clément Narteau, Olivier Rozier, Jeanne Alkalla, Laurie Barrier, Sylvain Courrech du Pont
Abstract. Flow perturbations induced by dune topography affect sediment transport locally, but can also be felt over long distances altering the dynamics of isolated neighbouring dunes downstream. In order to work under optimal conditions that eliminate transverse flow components, collisions and mass exchange between dunes, we study here these long-range interactions using a 2D numerical model where two equal-sized dunes lying on a non-erodible bed are exposed to a symmetric reversing flow. Depending on the initial spacing, dunes either attract or repel each other, to eventually converge towards a steady-state spacing. This equilibrium distance decreases with flow strength and increases with period of flow reorientation and dune size. It is mainly controlled by the reversing dune shape and the structure of the turbulent wake it generates, which continuously modulates the mean shear stress on the downstream dune. Under multi-directional wind regimes, these long-range flow perturbations offer an alternative mechanism for wavelength selection in dune fields with non-erodible interdune areas. Within these dune fields, estimates of mean shear stress could be used to assess the relative migration rate and the state of attraction/repulsion between neighbouring dunes.
摘要沙丘地形引起的水流扰动会影响局部的沉积物迁移,但也会在长距离上影响下游相邻孤立沙丘的动态变化。为了在消除沙丘间横向流动成分、碰撞和质量交换的最佳条件下工作,我们在此使用二维数值模型研究了这些长程相互作用。根据初始间距的不同,沙丘要么相互吸引,要么相互排斥,最终趋于稳定的间距。这种平衡距离随水流强度的增加而减小,随水流重新定向的周期和沙丘大小的增加而增大。它主要受反向沙丘形状及其产生的湍流尾流结构的控制,湍流尾流不断调节下游沙丘上的平均切应力。在多向风机制下,这些长程流动扰动为具有不可侵蚀沙丘间区域的沙丘场提供了另一种波长选择机制。在这些沙丘区域内,平均剪应力的估计值可用于评估相邻沙丘之间的相对迁移率和吸引/排斥状态。
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引用次数: 0
An empirically-derived hydraulic head model controlling water storage and outflow over a decade in degraded permafrost rock slopes (Zugspitze, D/A) 根据经验得出的水头模型,控制退化永冻土岩坡(祖格斯皮采,D/A)十年间的蓄水和排水量
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1512
Riccardo Scandroglio, Samuel Weber, Till Rehm, Michael Krautblatter
Abstract. While recent permafrost degradation in Alpine peri- and paraglacial slopes has been documented in several studies, only restricted information is available on the respective hydrology. Water boosts permafrost degradation by advective heat transport and destabilizes periglacial mountain slopes. Even if multiple recent rock slope failures indicate the presence of water, only a few studies provide evidence of water availability and related hydrostatic pressures at bigger depths, showing a significant research gap. This study combines a unique decennial data set of meteorological data, snowmelt modeling, and discharge measurements from two rock fractures in a tunnel located ≈ 55 m under the permafrost-affected N-S facing Zugspitze Ridge (2815–2962 m asl). To decipher the hydrological properties of fractures, we analyze inputs, i.e., snowmelt and rainfall, and outputs, i.e., discharge from fractures, baseflow, and no-flow events, detecting flow anomalies. For summer precipitation events, we developed i) a uniform recession curve, ii) an empirical water storage model, and iii) an approximate hydraulic water pressure model according to Darcy’s falling-head law. Extreme events with up to 800 l/d and 58 l/h are likely to fully saturate the observed fractures with corresponding hydraulic heads of up to 40 ± 10 m and to increase fracture interconnectivity. The average daily discharge during snowmelt, 10 l/h, can lead to hydraulic heads up to 27 ± 6 m. Water dynamics suggest hydraulic conductivities in the range of 10−4 m/s, with variations according to the fracture’s saturation. E.g., no-flow and baseflow events indicate unsaturated and partially saturated conditions. Here, we show an empirical fluid flow approximation model of hydrostatic pressure regimes in high-alpine deep-bedrock fractures. Pressures from water accumulation in bedrock reach levels that can weaken or even destabilize rock slopes. This process can easily outpace thermal conductive warming of active layers in the foreseeable future, provide positive feedback on water infiltration, and is crucial for the stability of the rapidly warming alpine permafrost environments.
摘要虽然多项研究记录了阿尔卑斯山围冰期和副冰期山坡最近出现的永久冻土退化现象,但有关其水文情况的资料却十分有限。水通过平流传热促进永久冻土退化,并破坏冰川山坡的稳定性。即使最近发生的多起岩石斜坡崩塌表明了水的存在,但只有少数研究提供了在更大深度上水的可用性和相关静水压力的证据,这显示了巨大的研究差距。这项研究结合了一个独特的十年期数据集,包括气象数据、融雪模型以及从位于受永久冻土影响的南北向祖格峰山脊(海拔 2815-2962 米)下 55 米处的一条隧道中的两条岩石裂缝测量到的排水量。为了破解断裂的水文特性,我们分析了输入(即融雪和降雨)和输出(即断裂排水、基流和无流事件),检测流量异常。对于夏季降水事件,我们开发了 i) 均匀衰退曲线;ii) 经验储水模型;iii) 根据达西水头下降定律建立的近似水压模型。高达 800 升/天和 58 升/小时的极端事件可能会使观测到的断裂完全饱和,相应的水头高达 40 ± 10 米,并增加断裂的互联性。融雪期间的日平均排水量(10 升/小时)可导致高达 27 ± 6 米的水头。水动力学表明,水导率在 10-4 米/秒的范围内,随裂缝饱和度的变化而变化。例如,无水流和基流事件表明了非饱和和部分饱和的条件。在此,我们展示了高山深层岩石断裂中静水压力机制的经验流体流近似模型。基岩中积水产生的压力可达到削弱甚至破坏岩坡稳定的程度。在可预见的未来,这一过程很容易超过活动层的导热升温,对水的渗透提供正反馈,对迅速变暖的高山永冻土环境的稳定性至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Geomorphic imprint of high mountain floods: Insight from the 2022 hydrological extreme across the Upper Indus terrain in NW Himalayas 高山洪水的地貌印记:喜马拉雅山西北部上印度河地形 2022 年水文极值的启示
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1618
Abhishek Kashyap, Kristen Cook, Mukunda Dev Behera
Abstract. The interaction of tectonics, surface processes, and climate extremes impacts how the landscape responds to extreme hydrological events. An anomalous precipitation event in 2022 occurred during the monsoon season along the lower reaches of the Upper Indus River, resulting in short-lived high-magnitude flooding and socioeconomic disruption downstream. To understand the spatial relationship between the geomorphic response and climatic controls of this flood event, as well as their primary triggers, we performed a landscape analysis using topographic metrics and quantified the causal association between hydro-climatic variables. Temperature anomalies in upstream glaciated sub-catchments had a considerable impact on snow cover distribution, based on our observations. As snow cover changed, glacial melt runoff rose, contributing to increased fluvial stream power after traversing higher-order reaches. The higher-order reaches of the Upper Indus River received an anomalously high amount of precipitation, which, when combined with substantial glacial and melt discharge, contributed to an extreme flood across the high-relief steep gradient channels. The flood-affected regions had a high mean basin ksn and SL-index, including numerous spikes in their magnitudes along their channel profiles downstream. To determine how the lower reaches of the Upper Indus River responded to this flood event, we employed the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) as change indicator metrics. We observed an inverse causal influence of NDWI on EVI and a statistically significant relationship between anomalous stream power and relative EVI, suggesting that downstream channel morphology changed rapidly during this episodic event and highlighting EVI as a useful indicator of geomorphic change. We suggest that this extreme flood event is a result of the interaction of anomalous glacial melt and anomalous precipitation over a high-relief landscape, with a certain causal connection with anomalous temperature over the event duration. The synoptic observations suggest that this meteorological condition involves the interaction of the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) and Western Disturbance (WD) moisture fluxes. However, the geomorphic consequences of such anomalous monsoon periods, as well as their influence on long-term landscape change, are still unclear.
摘要构造、地表过程和极端气候的相互作用影响着地貌对极端水文事件的响应。2022 年,印度河上游下游在季风季节发生了一次异常降水事件,造成了短时间的大洪水和下游社会经济混乱。为了了解这次洪水事件的地貌反应和气候控制之间的空间关系及其主要触发因素,我们利用地形指标进行了景观分析,并量化了水文气候变量之间的因果关系。根据我们的观察,上游冰川子流域的温度异常对积雪覆盖分布有相当大的影响。随着积雪覆盖率的变化,冰川融化的径流量也随之增加,从而使流经高阶河段的河水流量增加。上印度河高阶河段的降水量异常高,再加上大量的冰川融水径流,导致高河谷陡坡河道发生特大洪水。洪水影响区域的平均流域 ksn 和 SL 指数较高,包括沿河道剖面向下游的许多峰值。为了确定印度河上游下游对此次洪水事件的反应,我们采用了增强植被指数(EVI)和归一化差异水指数(NDWI)作为变化指标。我们观察到 NDWI 对 EVI 的反向因果影响,以及异常溪流功率与相对 EVI 之间在统计学上的显著关系,这表明在这次偶发事件中,下游河道形态发生了快速变化,突出表明 EVI 是地貌变化的有用指标。我们认为,这次特大洪水事件是高地形上异常冰川融化和异常降水相互作用的结果,与事件持续期间的异常气温有一定的因果关系。同步观测结果表明,这种气象条件涉及印度夏季季风(ISM)和西部扰动(WD)水汽通量的相互作用。然而,这种异常季风期的地貌后果及其对长期地貌变化的影响仍不清楚。
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引用次数: 0
Overdeepening or tunnel valley of the Aare glacier on the northern margin of the European Alps: Basins, riegels, and slot canyons 欧洲阿尔卑斯山北缘阿雷冰川的过深谷或隧道谷:盆地、峡谷和槽谷
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-683
Fritz Schlunegger, Edi Kissling, Dimitri Tibo Bandou, Guilhem Amin Douillet, David Mair, Urs Marti, Regina Reber, Patrick Fabian Schläfli, Michael Alfred Schwenk
Abstract. This work summarizes the results of an interdisciplinary project where we aimed to explore the origin of overdeepenings or tunnel valleys through a combination of a gravimetry survey, drillings, dating and a synthesis of previously published work. To this end, we focused on the Bern area, Switzerland, situated on the northern margin of the European Alps. In this region, multiple advances of piedmont glaciers during the Quaternary glaciations resulted in the carving of the main overdeepening of the Aare River valley (referred to as Aare main overdeepening). This bedrock depression is tens of km long and up to several hundreds of meters to a few kilometers wide. We found that in the Bern area, this main overdeepening is made up of two >200 m-deep troughs that are separated by a c. 5 km-long and up to 150 m-high transverse rocky ridge, interpreted as a riegel. The basins and the riegel are overlain by a >200 m- and 100 m-thick succession of Quaternary sediments, respectively. The bedrock itself is made up of a Late Oligocene to Early Miocene suite of consolidated clastic deposits, which are part of the Molasse foreland basin, whereas the Quaternary suite comprises a middle Pleistocene to Holocene succession of glacio-lacustrine gravel, sand and mud. A synthesis of published gravimetry data revealed that the upstream stoss side of the bedrock riegel is c. 50 % flatter than the downstream lee side. In addition, information from >100 deep drillings reaching depths >50 m suggests that the bedrock riegel is dissected by an anastomosing network of slot canyons. We propose that these canyons established the hydrological connection between the upstream and downstream basins during their formation. Based on published modelling results, we interpret that the riegels and canyons were formed through incision of subglacial meltwater during a glacier’s decay state, when large volumes of meltwater were released. Such a situation has repeatedly occurred since the Middle Pleistocene Transition approximately 800 ka ago, when large and erosive piedmont glaciers began to advance far into the foreland. This resulted in the deep carving of the inner-Alpine valleys, and additionally in the formation of overdeepenings on the plateau on the northern margin of the Alps.
摘要这项工作总结了一个跨学科项目的成果,我们的目标是通过结合重力测量、钻探、年代测定以及对以前发表的研究成果进行综合分析,探索过深地层或隧道谷的起源。为此,我们重点研究了位于欧洲阿尔卑斯山北缘的瑞士伯尔尼地区。在这一地区,第四纪冰川期间山麓冰川的多次推进造成了阿雷河河谷的主超深(简称阿雷主超深)。这一基岩洼地长达数十公里,宽达数百米至数公里。我们发现,在伯尔尼地区,这个主超深层是由两个 200 米深的盆地组成的,它们被一个长约 5 公里、高达 150 米的横向岩石山脊隔开,该山脊被解释为涟漪(riegel)。盆地和山脊上分别覆盖着 200 米和 100 米厚的第四纪沉积层。基岩本身是由晚渐新世至早中新世的一套固结碎屑沉积物组成的,是莫拉塞(Molasse)前陆盆地的一部分,而第四纪沉积物则由中更新世至全新世的冰川-湖泊砾石、沙和泥组成。对已公布的重力测量数据进行综合后发现,基岩涟漪的上游stoss侧比下游lee侧平坦约50%。此外,从深度达 50 米的 100 个深层钻探中获得的信息表明,基岩涟漪被一个吻合的槽峡谷网络剖开。我们认为,这些峡谷在形成过程中建立了上下游盆地之间的水文联系。根据已公布的建模结果,我们推断这些涟漪和峡谷是在冰川衰减状态下,大量冰川融水被释放出来后,通过冰川下融水的切入作用形成的。自大约 800 ka 年前的中更新世过渡期以来,这种情况一再发生,当时具有侵蚀作用的大型山麓冰川开始向前沿地带挺进。这导致了阿尔卑斯山内谷的深雕,并在阿尔卑斯山北缘的高原上形成了过深地。
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引用次数: 0
Stream hydrology controls on ice cliff evolution and survival on debris-covered glaciers 溪流水文对碎屑覆盖冰川上冰崖演变和存活的控制作用
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.5194/esurf-12-727-2024
Eric Petersen, Regine Hock, Michael G. Loso
Abstract. Ice cliffs are melt hot spots that contribute disproportionately to melt on debris-covered glaciers. In this study, we investigate the impact of supraglacial stream hydrology on ice cliffs using in situ and remote sensing observations, streamflow measurements, and a conceptual geomorphic model of ice cliff backwasting applied to ice cliffs on Kennicott Glacier, Alaska. We found that 33 % of ice cliffs (accounting for 69 % of the ice cliff area) are actively influenced by streams, while half are nearer than 10 m from the nearest stream. Supraglacial streams contribute to ice cliff formation and maintenance by horizontal meandering, vertical incision, and debris transport. These processes produce an undercut lip at the ice cliff base and transport clasts up to tens of centimeters in diameter, preventing reburial of ice cliffs by debris. Stream meander morphology reminiscent of sedimentary river channel meanders and oxbow lakes produces sinuous and crescent ice cliff shapes. Stream avulsions result in rapid ice cliff collapse and local channel abandonment. Ice cliffs abandoned by streams are observed to be reburied by supraglacial debris, indicating a strong role played by streams in ice cliff persistence. We also report on a localized surge-like event at the glacier's western margin which drove the formation of ice cliffs from crevassing; these cliffs occur in sets with parallel linear morphologies contrasting with the crescent planform shape of stream-driven cliffs. The development of landscape evolution models may assist in quantifying the total net effect of these processes on steady-state ice cliff coverage and mass balance, contextualizing them with other drivers including supraglacial ponds, differential melt, ice dynamics, and collapse of englacial voids.
摘要冰崖是融化热点,对碎屑覆盖冰川的融化起着不成比例的作用。在这项研究中,我们利用原地和遥感观测数据、溪流测量数据以及适用于阿拉斯加肯尼科特冰川冰崖的冰崖逆冲概念地貌模型,研究了超冰川溪流水文对冰崖的影响。我们发现,33% 的冰崖(占冰崖面积的 69%)受到溪流的积极影响,而一半的冰崖距离最近的溪流超过 10 米。超冰川溪流通过水平蜿蜒、垂直切割和碎屑运输等方式促进冰崖的形成和维护。这些过程会在冰崖底部产生一个下切唇,并将直径达数十厘米的碎屑运走,防止碎屑重新掩埋冰崖。溪流蜿蜒的形态让人联想到沉积河道蜿蜒和牛首湖,从而形成蜿蜒的新月形冰崖。溪流撕裂导致冰崖迅速崩塌和局部河道废弃。据观察,被溪流遗弃的冰崖会被超冰川碎屑重新掩埋,这表明溪流在冰崖的持续存在中发挥了重要作用。我们还报告了冰川西缘的一次局部涌动事件,该事件推动了裂缝冰崖的形成;这些冰崖成套出现,具有平行的线性形态,与溪流驱动冰崖的新月平面形态形成鲜明对比。景观演变模型的开发有助于量化这些过程对稳态冰崖覆盖面和质量平衡的总净影响,并将它们与其他驱动因素(包括超冰川池塘、差异融化、冰动力学和冰川空隙的崩塌)结合起来。
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引用次数: 0
Time-varying drainage basin development and erosion on volcanic edifices 随时间变化的排水盆地发育和火山造物上的侵蚀作用
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.5194/esurf-12-709-2024
Daniel O'Hara, Liran Goren, Roos M. J. van Wees, Benjamin Campforts, Pablo Grosse, Pierre Lahitte, Gabor Kereszturi, Matthieu Kervyn
Abstract. The erosional state of a landscape is often assessed through a series of metrics that quantify the morphology of drainage basins and divides. Such metrics have been well explored in tectonically active environments to evaluate the role of different processes in sculpting topography, yet relatively few works have applied these analyses to radial landforms such as volcanoes. We quantify drainage basin geometries on volcanic edifices of varying ages using common metrics (e.g., Hack's law, drainage density, and number of basins that reach the edifice summit, as well as basin hypsometry integral, length, width, relief, and average topographic slope). Relating these measurements to the log-mean age of activity for each edifice, we find that drainage density, basin hypsometry, basin length, and basin width quantify the degree of erosional maturity for these landforms. We also explore edifice drainage basin growth and competition by conducting a divide mobility analysis on the volcanoes, finding that young volcanoes are characterized by nearly uniform fluvial basins within unstable configurations that are more prone to divide migration. As basins on young volcanoes erode, they become less uniform but adapt to a more stable configuration with less divide migration. Finally, we analyze basin spatial geometries and outlet spacing on edifices, discovering an evolution in radial basin configurations that differ from typical linear mountain ranges. From these, we present a novel conceptual model for edifice degradation that allows new interpretations of composite volcano histories and provides predictive quantities for edifice morphologic evolution.
摘要地貌的侵蚀状态通常是通过一系列量化排水盆地和分水岭形态的指标来评估的。这些指标在构造活跃的环境中得到了很好的应用,以评估不同过程在雕刻地形中的作用,但将这些分析应用于火山等径向地貌的工作相对较少。我们使用通用指标(如哈克定律、排水密度、到达火山顶的盆地数量,以及盆地吸水率积分、长度、宽度、地形起伏和平均地形坡度)量化了不同年代火山建筑物上的排水盆地几何形状。将这些测量值与每个建筑物的对数平均活动年龄联系起来,我们发现,排水密度、盆地湿度、盆地长度和盆地宽度可以量化这些地貌的侵蚀成熟程度。我们还通过对火山进行分水岭移动性分析来探讨火山口排水盆地的增长和竞争,发现年轻火山的特点是在不稳定的构造中形成几乎均匀的河流盆地,更容易发生分水岭移动。随着年轻火山上盆地的侵蚀,它们变得不那么均匀,但适应了更稳定的构造,减少了分水岭的迁移。最后,我们分析了造山运动上的盆地空间几何形状和出口间距,发现了不同于典型线性山脉的径向盆地构造的演变。由此,我们提出了一个新颖的火山口退化概念模型,该模型可以对复合火山历史做出新的解释,并提供火山口形态演变的预测量。
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引用次数: 0
Geomorphic risk maps for river migration using probabilistic modeling – a framework 利用概率建模绘制河流迁移地貌风险图--一个框架
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.5194/esurf-12-691-2024
Brayden Noh, Omar Wani, Kieran B. J. Dunne, Michael P. Lamb
Abstract. Lateral migration of meandering rivers poses erosional risks to human settlements, roads, and infrastructure in alluvial floodplains. While there is a large body of scientific literature on the dominant mechanisms driving river migration, it is still not possible to accurately predict river meander evolution over multiple years. This is in part because we do not fully understand the relative contribution of each mechanism and because deterministic mathematical models are not equipped to account for stochasticity in the system. Besides, uncertainty due to model structure deficits and unknown parameter values remains. For a more reliable assessment of risks, we therefore need probabilistic forecasts. Here, we present a workflow to generate geomorphic risk maps for river migration using probabilistic modeling. We start with a simple geometric model for river migration, where nominal migration rates increase with local and upstream curvature. We then account for model structure deficits using smooth random functions. Probabilistic forecasts for river channel position over time are generated by Monte Carlo runs using a distribution of model parameter values inferred from satellite data. We provide a recipe for parameter inference within the Bayesian framework. We demonstrate that such risk maps are relatively more informative in avoiding false negatives, which can be both detrimental and costly, in the context of assessing erosional hazards due to river migration. Our results show that with longer prediction time horizons, the spatial uncertainty of erosional hazard within the entire channel belt increases – with more geographical area falling within 25 % < probability < 75 %. However, forecasts also become more confident about erosion for regions immediately in the vicinity of the river, especially on its cut-bank side. Probabilistic modeling thus allows us to quantify our degree of confidence – which is spatially and temporally variable – in river migration forecasts. We also note that to increase the reliability of these risk maps, we need to describe the first-order dynamics in our model to a reasonable degree of accuracy, and simple geometric models do not always possess such accuracy.
摘要蜿蜒河流的侧向迁移对冲积洪泛区的人类住区、道路和基础设施构成侵蚀风险。虽然有大量科学文献介绍了驱动河流迁移的主要机制,但仍无法准确预测河流蜿蜒多年的演变情况。部分原因是我们并不完全了解每种机制的相对作用,而且确定性数学模型也不具备考虑系统随机性的能力。此外,模型结构缺陷和未知参数值导致的不确定性依然存在。因此,为了更可靠地评估风险,我们需要概率预测。在此,我们介绍一种利用概率建模生成河流迁移地貌风险图的工作流程。我们从一个简单的河流迁徙几何模型入手,在该模型中,名义迁徙率会随着局部和上游曲率的增加而增加。然后,我们使用平滑的随机函数对模型结构的缺陷进行解释。利用从卫星数据中推断出的模型参数值分布,通过蒙特卡罗运行生成河道位置随时间变化的概率预测。我们提供了在贝叶斯框架内进行参数推断的方法。我们证明,在评估河流迁徙造成的侵蚀危害时,这种风险图在避免假阴性方面具有相对更高的信息量,而假阴性可能既有害又代价高昂。我们的研究结果表明,随着预测时间跨度的延长,整个河道带侵蚀危害的空间不确定性也会增加--更多的地理区域属于 25 % < 概率 < 75 % 的范围。不过,对于紧邻河道的区域,尤其是河道切岸一侧的侵蚀情况,预测结果也更有把握。因此,概率模型可以量化我们对河流迁徙预测的置信度,而这种置信度在空间和时间上都是可变的。我们还注意到,为了提高这些风险地图的可靠性,我们需要在模型中对一阶动态进行合理精确的描述,而简单的几何模型并不总是具备这种精确性。
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引用次数: 0
Cosmogenic nuclide-derived downcutting rates of canyons within large limestone plateaus of southern Massif Central (France) reveal a different regional speleogenesis of karst networks 法国中部丘陵南部大型石灰岩高原峡谷的宇宙成因核素下切率揭示了岩溶网络不同的区域成岩过程
IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.5194/esurf-12-679-2024
Oswald Malcles, Philippe Vernant, David Fink, Gaël Cazes, Jean-François Ritz, Toshiyuki Fujioka, Jean Chéry
Abstract. We present 35 new burial ages (27 sites) based on 26Al / 10Be ratios of terrestrial cosmogenic radionuclides measured in clasts and sediments deep within 12 caves in the southern Massif Central, France. Our results, together with previously published burial ages, verify that cave morphogenesis has been continuously active in this region for at least the past ∼ 6 Myr. Combining sample burial ages with their associated cave elevation above the modern stream bed gives a mean regional incision rate of 88 ± 5 m Ma−1 for the Grands Causses area. South of the Cevennes Fault Zone bordering the Grands Causses, the incision rate is 43 ± 5 m Ma−1, suggesting that this difference might be accommodated by the fault zone. Sediment burial ages from caves which are not located on river valley flanks or cliff walls are surprisingly too young compared to their expected ages when calculated using this regional average river incision rate. This suggests that the classical epigenic speleogenesis model that presumes a direct correlation between cave level development and regional base level lowering does not apply for the study area. Therefore, we propose that regional speleogenesis is mainly controlled by the removal of ghost rocks by headward erosion from river canyons to central parts of the plateaus, emptying incipient primokarst passages to create cave systems. Our results suggest a continuum process from hypogene primokarst composed of passages filled with ghost rock to one of epigene karst dynamics emptying these passages and creating cave networks. We propose that these processes are the major mechanism in the southern Massif Central that initiates speleogenesis and controls the geometry of the networks. In this region, tiered karst cannot be associated with the pace of incision of the major rivers but must be explained by former ghost rock (or hypogene) processes.
摘要。我们根据在法国南部中央丘陵(Massif Central)12个洞穴深处的碎屑和沉积物中测量到的地面宇宙放射性核素26Al/10Be比值,提出了35个新的埋藏年代(27个地点)。我们的研究结果与之前公布的埋藏年代一起,验证了至少在过去的 6 Myr 年里,洞穴形态的形成在这一地区持续活跃。将样本的埋藏年代与其在现代河床之上的相关洞穴海拔高度结合起来,可以得出大高斯地区的平均区域侵蚀速率为 88 ± 5 m Ma-1。在与大高斯地区接壤的塞文山脉断裂带南侧,侵蚀率为 43 ± 5 m Ma-1,这表明断层带可能会造成这种差异。根据该地区的平均河流侵蚀率计算,非河谷侧壁或崖壁上的洞穴的沉积物埋藏年龄与其预期年龄相比过于年轻,令人惊讶。这表明,假定洞穴发育与区域基底降低直接相关的经典外生成岩模式并不适用于研究区域。因此,我们提出,区域溶洞的形成主要受控于河流峡谷向高原中部地区的顶侵蚀作用对鬼斧神工岩石的清除,从而掏空了初生的原始岩溶通道,形成了溶洞系统。我们的研究结果表明,从由充满鬼岩的通道组成的下元古界岩溶,到掏空这些通道并形成洞穴网络的上元古界岩溶动力学,是一个连续的过程。我们认为,这些过程是中丘陵南部岩溶形成的主要机制,它们启动了岩洞的形成,并控制着岩洞网络的几何形状。在这一地区,层状岩溶不能与主要河流的侵蚀速度联系起来,而必须用以前的鬼岩(或次生岩)过程来解释。
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Earth Surface Dynamics
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