基于斯洛伐克社会经济决定因素的地区生育率预测指标

IF 1.6 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI:10.1007/s12546-024-09340-3
Janetta Nestorová Dická, Filip Lipták
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究的主要目的是认识决定因素对生育水平的影响,从而解释斯洛伐克各地区趋势的差异。在世纪之交,各地区生育率的差异有所扩大,但总生育率却有所下降。多元统计方法阐明了生育率水平和性质的地区影响。最初的回归调查显示,地区间的影响较弱,因此采用了因素分析和聚类分析来确定地区类型。然后进行综合回归分析。在区域间和区域内,区域关系的强度和性质各不相同。研究表明,生育率的显著差异取决于社会经济环境,因为区域类型与决定因素有着独特的联系。此外,每个决定因素都有特定的空间模式,在不同区域层面的回归系数也不相同,无法对其进行持续评估。了解生育率的空间变化是如何发生的,将有助于今后的研究阐明其中的过程。最后,生育率对社会评估和政策制定至关重要,研究结果可为地方决策者和规划者提供信息,帮助他们确定区域生育率的社会经济条件,并规划适当的干预战略。
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Regional fertility predictors based on socioeconomic determinants in Slovakia

The study's primary purpose was to recognise the effects of determinants on the level of fertility and thereby explain the differences in trends in the regions of Slovakia. At the turn of the century, the differences in fertility in regions increased, but the total fertility rate decreased. Multivariate statistical methods clarified the regional effects of the level and nature of fertility. Initial regression surveys indicated weak effects between regions, which led to applying factor and cluster analysis to establish regional types. Comprehensive regression analysis was then applied. The strength and nature of regional relationships differed at the inter- and intra-regional levels. Research has demonstrated significant differences in fertility rates dependent on the socioeconomic environment, as regional types uniquely link to determinants. Moreover, each determinant has specific spatial patterns with unequal regression coefficients at different regional levels, which cannot be evaluated constantly. Knowing how spatial variation in fecundity occurs will enable future studies to elucidate the processes involved. Finally, fertility is vital for social assessment and policy formulation, the study’s findings could inform local decision-makers and planners in identifying the socioeconomic conditions underlying fertility at the regional level and planning appropriate intervention strategies.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: The Journal of Population Research is a peer-reviewed, international journal which publishes papers on demography and population-related issues. Coverage is not restricted geographically. The Journal publishes substantive empirical analyses, theoretical works, applied research and contributions to methodology. Submissions may take the form of original research papers, perspectives, review articles and shorter technical research notes. Special issues emanating from conferences and other meetings are also considered.
期刊最新文献
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