区域产业结构优化的低碳路径研究

IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Energy Strategy Reviews Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI:10.1016/j.esr.2024.101485
Tingting Feng , Bin Liu , Yang Wei , Yawen Xu , Huangyuying Zheng , Zidong Ni , Yide Zhu , Xinyue Fan , Zhongli Zhou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

建立可持续的产业结构体系是社会向高质量发展转型、实现 "碳峰值 "和 "碳中和 "目标的当务之急。本研究探索了一条区域产业结构优化的低碳路径,以实现经济增长、社会保障和环境保护之间的平衡。通过碳排放最小化、经济效益和社会就业最大化,构建了经济-社会-环境系统产业结构的多目标优化模型。在本研究中,我们探索了产业结构的科学配置路径,并设置了多种情景,以满足决策者的不同偏好和发展要求。以中国西南地区为实践案例,验证了模型的有效性,为区域经济的可持续发展提供了决策框架。优化后,碳排放量减少了 0.9%∼3.2%,经济效益增加了 2.5%∼4.8%,就业水平提高了近一倍。西南地区交通运输业比重下降 11.58%。原煤是碳排放贡献率最高的能源,为 2494.2 × 108 kgCO2eq。
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Research on the low-carbon path of regional industrial structure optimization

Establishing a sustainable industrial structure system is imperative for transforming the society to high-quality development and achieve the "carbon peak" and "carbon neutrality" goals. In this study, we explored a low-carbon pathway of regional industrial structure optimization to achieve a balance among economic growth, social security, and environmental conservation. A multi-objective optimization model of industrial structure of economic-social-environmental system was constructed by minimizing carbon emissions and maximizing economic benefits and social employment. In this study, we explored the scientific allocation path for industrial structure and set various scenarios to meet the diverse preferences and development requirements of decision-makers. Southwest China was used as a practical case to validate the model's efficacy, offering a decision-making framework for the sustainable development of the regional economy. After optimization, carbon emissions reduced by 0.9 %∼3.2 %, economic benefits increased by 2.5 %∼4.8 %, and employment levels nearly doubled. The proportion of the transportation industry in southwest China decreased by 11.58 %. The raw coal was the energy source with the highest contribution to carbon emissions, 2494.2 × 108 kgCO2eq.

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来源期刊
Energy Strategy Reviews
Energy Strategy Reviews Energy-Energy (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
12.80
自引率
4.90%
发文量
167
审稿时长
40 weeks
期刊介绍: Energy Strategy Reviews is a gold open access journal that provides authoritative content on strategic decision-making and vision-sharing related to society''s energy needs. Energy Strategy Reviews publishes: • Analyses • Methodologies • Case Studies • Reviews And by invitation: • Report Reviews • Viewpoints
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