海底穿梭船能否成为具有成本竞争力的二氧化碳运输解决方案?

Simon Roussanaly, Sigmund Eggen Holm, Avinash Subramanian
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摘要

考虑到近海二氧化碳封存预计将在碳捕集与封存的部署中发挥作用,实现将二氧化碳运输到相关封存地点的成本效益高且灵活的解决方案将至关重要。长期以来,管道和船舶运输一直被认为是最合适的选择,而海底穿梭运输则是过去几年中提出的新概念。研究结果表明,穿梭运输概念在成本上可以与目前成熟的 15 驳船运输概念相媲美,特别是当海底穿梭运输连接到二氧化碳管道基础设施而不是直接连接到储层时。然而,与即将推出的 7 barg 航运相比,这一概念不太可能具有成本吸引力,而且敏感性分析突出表明,海底穿梭运输的投资成本需要降至不太可能达到的低水平,才能扭转这一趋势。因此,本研究得出结论,海底穿梭概念不太可能成为将二氧化碳运输到近海封存的重要解决方案。
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Can subsea shuttles be a cost-competitive solution for CO2 transport?

Considering the role that offshore CO2 storage is expected to play in deploying carbon capture and storage, enabling cost-efficient and flexible solutions for transporting CO2 to relevant storage locations will be crucial. While pipeline and ship-based approaches have long been considered the most relevant options, transport via subsea shuttles is a new concept that has also been proposed in the past couple of years. The present study seeks to understand if this new approach could be cost-efficient compared to current and upcoming ship-based transport concepts.

The result shows that the shuttle concept could be cost-competitive with currently mature 15 barg-based shipping, especially if the subsea shuttle connects to a CO2 pipeline infrastructure rather than to the reservoir directly, although cost-competitiveness is achieved only for a limited range of volumes and distances. However, it is unlikely that this concept would be cost-attractive compared to the upcoming 7 barg-based shipping, and sensitivity analyses highlight that the subsea shuttle investment cost would need to fall to unlikely low levels to reverse this trend. Thus, this study concludes that the subsea shuttle concept is unlikely to become a significant solution for transporting CO2 to offshore storage.

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