遗传算法在股市预测中的适用性:过去十年的系统调查

IF 13.3 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Computer Science Review Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI:10.1016/j.cosrev.2024.100652
Ankit Thakkar, Kinjal Chaudhari
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引用次数: 0

摘要

股票市场是吸引研究人员和学者的领域之一。它代表着高度复杂的非线性波动市场行为,交易者、投资者和组织者都期待着对市场指数的未来做出可靠预测。此类预测问题可以通过各种机器学习、深度学习、情感分析以及挖掘方法来计算解决。然而,内部参数配置对预测性能起着重要作用;同时,特征选择也是一项关键任务。因此,为了优化这些方法,可以通过多种方式整合基于进化计算的算法。在本文中,我们系统地对遗传算法(GA)及其在股市预测中的应用进行了重点调查;GA 以其并行搜索机制解决复杂的实际问题而著称;各种遗传观点还与机器学习和深度学习方法相结合,以解决金融预测问题。因此,我们旨在分析 GA 在股市预测方面的潜在扩展性和适应性。我们回顾了近年来(2013-2022 年)的股价和股票走势预测以及投资组合优化方法,以说明基于遗传算法的优化在金融市场中的最新进展。我们简要回顾了其他遗传学观点及其在股市预测中的应用,从而拓宽了我们的讨论范围。我们通过考虑遗传算法的竞争力和互补性来平衡我们的调查,随后强调了将遗传算法应用于股市预测的挑战和潜在的未来研究方向。
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Applicability of genetic algorithms for stock market prediction: A systematic survey of the last decade

Stock market is one of the attractive domains for researchers as well as academicians. It represents highly complex non-linear fluctuating market behaviours where traders, investors, and organizers look forward to reliable future predictions of the market indices. Such prediction problems can be computationally addressed using various machine learning, deep learning, sentiment analysis, as well as mining approaches. However, the internal parameters configuration can play an important role in the prediction performance; also, feature selection is a crucial task. Therefore, to optimize such approaches, the evolutionary computation-based algorithms can be integrated in several ways. In this article, we systematically conduct a focused survey on genetic algorithm (GA) and its applications for stock market prediction; GAs are known for their parallel search mechanism to solve complex real-world problems; various genetic perspectives are also integrated with machine learning and deep learning methods to address financial forecasting. Thus, we aim to analyse the potential extensibility and adaptability of GAs for stock market prediction. We review stock price and stock trend prediction, as well as portfolio optimization, approaches over the recent years (2013–2022) to signify the state-of-the-art of GA-based optimization in financial markets. We broaden our discussion by briefly reviewing other genetic perspectives and their applications for stock market forecasting. We balance our survey with the consideration of competitiveness and complementation of GAs, followed by highlighting the challenges and potential future research directions of applying GAs for stock market prediction.

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来源期刊
Computer Science Review
Computer Science Review Computer Science-General Computer Science
CiteScore
32.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
26
审稿时长
51 days
期刊介绍: Computer Science Review, a publication dedicated to research surveys and expository overviews of open problems in computer science, targets a broad audience within the field seeking comprehensive insights into the latest developments. The journal welcomes articles from various fields as long as their content impacts the advancement of computer science. In particular, articles that review the application of well-known Computer Science methods to other areas are in scope only if these articles advance the fundamental understanding of those methods.
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