Geometric deep learning-guided Suzuki reaction conditions assessment for applications in medicinal chemistry

Suzuki cross-coupling reactions are considered a valuable tool for constructing carbon–carbon bonds in small molecule drug discovery. However, the synthesis of chemical matter often represents a time-consuming and labour-intensive bottleneck. We demonstrate how machine learning methods trained on high-throughput experimentation (HTE) data can be leveraged to enable fast reaction condition selection for novel coupling partners. We show that the trained models support chemists in determining suitable catalyst-solvent-base combinations for individual transformations including an evaluation of the need for HTE screening. We introduce an algorithm for designing 96-well plates optimized towards reaction yields and discuss the model performance of zero- and few-shot machine learning. The best-performing machine learning model achieved a three-category classification accuracy of 76.3% (±0.2%) and an F₁-score for a binary classification of 79.1% (±0.9%). Validation on eight reactions revealed a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) value of 0.82 (±0.07) for few-shot machine learning. On the other hand, zero-shot machine learning models achieved a mean ROC-AUC value of 0.63 (±0.16). This study positively advocates the application of few-shot machine learning-guided reaction condition selection for HTE campaigns in medicinal chemistry and highlights practical applications as well as challenges associated with zero-shot machine learning.