[脓毒症相关急性呼吸窘迫综合征患者急性胃肠道损伤的临床特征和预后]。

Hua Xu, Yang Zhao, Chenlin Zhu, Lijing Xu, Hongmei Gao
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The clinical characteristics and 28-day clinical outcomes of the patients were observed; the risk factors related to the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI were analyzed by using univariate and multivariate Logistic regression; and the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) and calibration curves were plotted to evaluate the predictive value of each risk factor on the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 92 patients with septic ARDS were enrolled, including 7 patients in the AGI 0 group, 20 patients in the AGI I group, 38 patients in the AGI II group, 23 patients in the AGI III group, and 4 patients in the AGI IV group. The incidence of AGI was 92.39%. 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Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score (OR = 1.384, 95%CI was 1.153-1.661, P < 0.001), PaO<sub>2</sub>/FiO<sub>2</sub> (OR = 0.983, 95%CI was 0.968-0.999, P = 0.035) and AGI 7-day worst value (OR = 1.992, 95%CI was 1.141-3.478, P = 0.015) were the independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. ROC curve analysis showed that SOFA score, PaO<sub>2</sub>/FiO<sub>2</sub> and AGI 7-day worst value had predictive value for the 28-day prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的观察不同等级脓毒症合并急性胃肠损伤(AGI)急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)患者的临床特征及预后,进一步探讨与患者预后不良相关的危险因素:收集天津市第一中心医院重症监护室(ICU)2023年3月至10月收治的脓毒症ARDS患者的临床资料。根据2012年欧洲重症医学会AGI定义和分级标准,将患者分为AGI 0-IV级组。观察患者的临床特征和28天临床结局,采用单变量和多变量Logistic回归分析与脓毒性ARDS合并AGI患者预后相关的危险因素,绘制接收者操作特征曲线(ROC曲线)和校准曲线,评估各危险因素对脓毒性ARDS合并AGI患者预后的预测价值:共纳入92例脓毒症ARDS患者,其中AGI 0组7例,AGI I组20例,AGI II组38例,AGI III组23例,AGI IV组4例。AGI 发生率为 92.39%。随着 AGI 分级的增加,ARDS 分级增加,急性生理学和慢性健康评估 II(APACHE II)、序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)、腹内压(IAP)、白细胞计数(WBC)、中性粒细胞计数(NEU)、淋巴细胞计数(LYM)、淋巴细胞百分比(LYM%)和 28 天死亡率均呈显著增加趋势,而氧合指数(PaO2/FiO2)呈显著下降趋势(均 P < 0.05).皮尔逊相关分析显示,APACHE II评分、SOFA评分和ARDS分级与患者的AGI分级呈正相关(皮尔逊相关指数分别为0.386、0.473和0.372,均P<0.001),而PaO2/FiO2与患者的AGI分级呈负相关(皮尔逊相关指数为-0.425,P<0.001)。在脓毒症 ARDS 合并 AGI 的患者中,有 68 人存活,17 人在 28 天后死亡。存活组和死亡组在 APACHE II 评分、SOFA 评分、ARDS 分级、AGI 分级、PaO2/FiO2、IAP、AGI 7 天最差值、ICU 住院时间和总住院时间上的差异均有统计学意义。单变量逻辑回归分析显示,SOFA 评分[几率比(OR)= 1.350,95% 置信区间(95%CI)为 1.071-1.702,P = 0.011]、PaO2/FiO2(OR = 0.964,95%CI 为 0.933-0.996,P = 0.027)和 AGI 7 天最差值(OR = 2.103,95%CI 为 1.194-3.702,P = 0.010)是脓毒性 ARDS 合并 AGI 患者 28 天死亡率的危险因素。多变量逻辑回归分析显示,SOFA 评分(OR = 1.384,95%CI 为 1.153-1.661,P < 0.001)、PaO2/FiO2(OR = 0.983,95%CI 为 0.968-0.999,P = 0.035)和 AGI 7 天最差值(OR = 1.992,95%CI 为 1.141-3.478,P = 0.015)是脓毒性 ARDS 合并 AGI 患者 28 天死亡率的独立危险因素。ROC 曲线分析显示,SOFA 评分、PaO2/FiO2 和 AGI 7 天最差值对脓毒性 ARDS 合并 AGI 患者 28 天预后具有预测价值。ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.824(95%CI为0.697-0.950)、0.760(95%CI为0.642-0.877)和0.721(95%CI为0.586-0.857),均P<0.01;当上述指标的最佳临界值为5.50分、163.45 mmHg(1 mmHg≈0.133 kPa)、2.50级时,敏感性分别为94.1%、94.1%、31.9%,特异性分别为80.9%、67.6%、88.2%.结论:脓毒症ARDS患者中AGI的发生率约为90%,AGI分级越高,患者的预后越差。SOFA评分、PaO2/FiO2和AGI 7天最差值对脓毒性ARDS合并AGI患者的预后有一定的预测价值,其中SOFA评分和AGI 7天最差值越大,PaO2/FiO2越小,患者的死亡率越高。
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[Clinical characteristics and prognosis of acute gastrointestinal injury in patients with sepsis-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome].

Objective: To observe the clinical characteristics and prognosis of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in sepsis combined with acute gastrointestinal injury (AGI) of different grades, and to further explore the risk factors associated with the poor prognosis of patients.

Methods: The clinical data of patients with septic ARDS admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Tianjin First Central Hospital from March to October 2023 were collected. According to the 2012 European Association of Critical Care Medicine AGI definition and grading criteria, the patients were categorized into AGI grade 0- IV groups. The clinical characteristics and 28-day clinical outcomes of the patients were observed; the risk factors related to the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI were analyzed by using univariate and multivariate Logistic regression; and the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) and calibration curves were plotted to evaluate the predictive value of each risk factor on the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI.

Results: A total of 92 patients with septic ARDS were enrolled, including 7 patients in the AGI 0 group, 20 patients in the AGI I group, 38 patients in the AGI II group, 23 patients in the AGI III group, and 4 patients in the AGI IV group. The incidence of AGI was 92.39%. With the increase of AGI grade, the ARDS grade increased, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), intra-abdominal pressure (IAP), white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), lymphocyte count (LYM), lymphocyte percentage (LYM%), and 28-day mortality all showed a significant increasing trend, while the oxygenation index (PaO2/FiO2) showed a significant decreasing trend (all P < 0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that APACHE II score, SOFA score, and ARDS classification were positively correlated with patients' AGI grade (Pearson correlation index was 0.386, 0.473, and 0.372, respectively, all P < 0.001), and PaO2/FiO2 was negatively correlated with patients' AGI grade (Pearson correlation index was -0.425, P < 0.001). Among the patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI, there were 68 survivors and 17 deaths at 28 days. The differences in APACHE II score, SOFA score, ARDS grade, AGI grade, PaO2/FiO2, IAP, AGI 7-day worst value, length of ICU stay, and total length of hospital stay between the survival and death groups were statistically significant. Univariate Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) = 1.350, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.071-1.702, P = 0.011], PaO2/FiO2 (OR = 0.964, 95%CI was 0.933-0.996, P = 0.027) and AGI 7-day worst value (OR = 2.103, 95%CI was 1.194-3.702, P = 0.010) were the risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score (OR = 1.384, 95%CI was 1.153-1.661, P < 0.001), PaO2/FiO2 (OR = 0.983, 95%CI was 0.968-0.999, P = 0.035) and AGI 7-day worst value (OR = 1.992, 95%CI was 1.141-3.478, P = 0.015) were the independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. ROC curve analysis showed that SOFA score, PaO2/FiO2 and AGI 7-day worst value had predictive value for the 28-day prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.824 (95%CI was 0.697-0.950), 0.760 (95%CI was 0.642-0.877) and 0.721 (95%CI was 0.586-0.857), respectively, all P < 0.01; when the best cut-off values of the above metrics were 5.50 points, 163.45 mmHg (1 mmHg≈0.133 kPa), and 2.50 grade, the sensitivities were 94.1%, 94.1%, 31.9%, respectively, and the specificities were 80.9%, 67.6%, 88.2%, respectively.

Conclusions: The incidence of AGI in patients with septic ARDS is about 90%, and the higher the AGI grade, the worse the prognosis of the patients. SOFA score, PaO2/FiO2 and AGI 7-day worst value have a certain predictive value for the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI, among which, the larger the SOFA score and AGI 7-day worst value, and the smaller the PaO2/FiO2, the higher the patients' mortality.

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Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue
Zhonghua wei zhong bing ji jiu yi xue Medicine-Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine
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