在集中和分散双边合作以及转运数量不确定的情况下制定救济物品库存计划

IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI:10.1016/j.seps.2024.101991
Abdullah Coskun , F. Sibel Salman , Amirreza Pashapour
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引用次数: 0

摘要

预先储备救灾物资可确保在灾难发生后及时提供实物援助。像大地震这样的悲剧性灾难是罕见的,也是不可预测的;因此,库存物品可能用不上。为了避免过度库存并降低短缺风险,文献中建议两个人道主义机构合作,在出现短缺时相互支持。在本研究中,我们利用基于新闻供应商的定量模型来优化各机构在集中式和分散式合作机制下的灾前储备决策。在前者中,两个机构共同决定其库存水平,以实现救灾行动的综合效益最大化;而在后者中,每个机构通过博弈论方法单独确定其库存水平。在这两个系统中,两个机构都同意在需要时将过量物品转运给对方。在这方面,我们研究了这样一种情况,即由于灾难的混乱性质,只有一部分转运物品(称为可靠性系数)能在目的地被接收和有效利用。考虑到确定性的可靠性因素,我们得到了集中式系统中的奇异最优库存水平,并确定了分散式系统中唯一的纳什均衡。随后,考虑到两个合作系统的随机可靠性因素,我们制定了一个两阶段随机程序。研究最后提出了一系列管理见解。我们的分析利用无政府状态的价格概念,量化了分散决策在不同参数设置下产生的次优性。研究结果突出表明,当两个机构的平均需求量都很高、转运过程安全(即可靠性系数很高)且转运成本较低时,集中式合作尤为可取。
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Relief item inventory planning under centralized and decentralized bilateral cooperation and uncertain transshipment quantities

Pre-positioning relief inventory ensures timely delivery of in-kind aid after a catastrophe. Tragic disasters like major earthquakes are rare and unpredictable; therefore, stockpiled items may not be used. To avoid over-stocking and reduce shortage risk, the cooperation of two humanitarian agencies in supporting each other in case of shortages is suggested in the literature. In this study, we utilize newsvendor-based quantitative models to optimize the pre-disaster stocking decisions of agencies under centralized and decentralized cooperation mechanisms. In the former, both agencies jointly determine their inventory levels to maximize their combined benefits of relief operations, whereas, in the latter, each agency establishes its stocking level in isolation via a game theoretic approach. In both systems, the two agencies agree to transship their excessive items to the other party if needed. In this regard, we investigate the situation where only a portion of the transshipped items, denoted as the reliability factor, can be received and effectively utilized at the destination due to the chaotic nature of the disaster. Considering a deterministic reliability factor, we obtain the singular optimal inventory levels in the centralized system and identify the unique Nash Equilibrium in the decentralized system. Subsequently, we formulate a two-stage stochastic program, considering a random reliability factor for both cooperation systems. The study concludes by offering a range of managerial insights. Our analyses quantify the sub-optimality resulting from decentralized decision-making across diverse parameter settings using the concept of the price of anarchy. The findings highlight that centralized cooperation becomes particularly advisable when the average demand within either agency is high, the transshipment process is secure (i.e., the reliability factor is high), and transshipment costs remain low.

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来源期刊
Socio-economic Planning Sciences
Socio-economic Planning Sciences OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE-
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
13.10%
发文量
294
审稿时长
58 days
期刊介绍: Studies directed toward the more effective utilization of existing resources, e.g. mathematical programming models of health care delivery systems with relevance to more effective program design; systems analysis of fire outbreaks and its relevance to the location of fire stations; statistical analysis of the efficiency of a developing country economy or industry. Studies relating to the interaction of various segments of society and technology, e.g. the effects of government health policies on the utilization and design of hospital facilities; the relationship between housing density and the demands on public transportation or other service facilities: patterns and implications of urban development and air or water pollution. Studies devoted to the anticipations of and response to future needs for social, health and other human services, e.g. the relationship between industrial growth and the development of educational resources in affected areas; investigation of future demands for material and child health resources in a developing country; design of effective recycling in an urban setting.
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