资本、腐败和劳动力市场互动的动态分析

IF 2.7 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Scientific African Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI:10.1016/j.sciaf.2024.e02312
Dejen Ketema Mamo , Enat Agachew Ayele
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引用次数: 0

摘要

长期以来,腐败、经济增长和劳动力动态之间的复杂关系一直是政策制定者面临的挑战。本研究通过构建一个具有饱和效应的新型经济模型,将就业因素纳入考虑范围,为这些动态互动关系提供了新的视角。与静态或纯粹的经验模型不同,我们的方法捕捉了系统随时间的演变,采用了逻辑增长函数来真实反映经济局限性,并区分了就业和失业的劳动力群体。通过纳入霍林 II 型函数,该模型捕捉到了腐败对经济增长的非线性影响,承认了在较高腐败水平下的收益递减。通过先进的理论分析,我们确定了三种不同的长期均衡状态的存在和稳定条件:停滞、充分就业的无腐败增长,以及腐败与某些经济活动同时存在的共存状态。我们的分析不仅仅是确定了这些均衡状态,还揭示了每种状态盛行的具体条件,并通过描述不同条件下系统行为的综合数值模拟来巩固这些理论预测。研究结果强调了强有力的反腐措施和劳动密集型经济方法的重要性,突出了促进增长速度超过资源枯竭速度是摆脱停滞和实现可持续发展的关键。总之,这项研究通过整合就业动态、霍林 II 型腐败函数和稳定性分析,为旨在促进经济可持续发展、打击腐败和确保健康就业条件的政策制定者提供了宝贵的见解。
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A dynamic analysis of capital, corruption, and labor market interactions

The complex relationship between corruption, economic growth, and labor dynamics has long been a challenge for policymakers. This study sheds new light on these dynamic interactions by constructing a novel economic model with saturation effects that integrate employment considerations. Unlike static or purely empirical models, our approach captures the system’s evolution over time, employing a logistic growth function to realistically reflect economic limitations and distinguishing between employed and unemployed labor segments. By incorporating a Holling type II function, the model captures the nonlinear influence of corruption on economic growth, acknowledging diminishing returns at higher corruption levels. Through advanced theoretical analysis, we establish the existence and stability conditions for three distinct long-term equilibria: stagnation, corruption-free growth with full employment, and a coexistent state where corruption persists alongside some economic activity. Our analysis goes beyond merely identifying these equilibria by revealing the specific conditions under which each state prevails, and we solidify these theoretical predictions with comprehensive numerical simulations depicting the system’s behavior under varying conditions. The findings underscore the importance of robust anti-corruption measures and a labor-intensive economic approach, highlighting that fostering growth outpacing resource depletion is crucial for escaping stagnation and achieving sustainable development. Overall, this research advances the field by integrating employment dynamics, a Holling type II function for corruption, and a focus on stability analysis, providing invaluable insights for policymakers aiming to promote sustainable economic development, combat corruption, and ensure healthy employment conditions.

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来源期刊
Scientific African
Scientific African Multidisciplinary-Multidisciplinary
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
3.40%
发文量
332
审稿时长
10 weeks
期刊最新文献
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