通过障碍和运行定量风险分析(BOQRA)确保安全工程的新方法建议

IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI:10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105390
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引用次数: 0

摘要

石油化工行业的发展导致事故大幅增加,如果我们要在确保系统安全的同时实现生产目标,就不能忽视这一问题。针对这些现象,人们开发了多种技术和模型,其中最重要的是定量风险分析(QRA)。QRA 是一种系统方法,旨在估算危险事件发生的可能性和后果。尽管它很有效,但也面临着与不确定性有关的局限性,因为它依赖于数据库中的平均值。为了克服这一局限性,障碍和操作风险分析(BORA)与质量评估相结合,将后果的频率分析纳入质量评估方法。这种被称为 "障碍与操作定量风险分析"(BOQRA)的方法,可以修正数据库中的输入数据,计算个人风险和修订后的社会风险,同时考虑到人力、技术和组织方面的因素。此外,它还能确定控制风险和管理修改及配置变化影响的基本措施。BOQRA 揭示了风险影响因素(RIF)对运行系统中的障碍及其性能的影响。作为一个示例研究,我们考察了根据密度分离油气的烧瓶球。
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A new approach proposal for ensuring security engineering through barrier and operational quantitative risk analysis (BOQRA)

The advancement in petrochemical industry has led to a significant increase in accidents, a concern that cannot overlooked if we aim to ensure the safety of our systems while still meeting production objectives. To address these phenomena, several techniques and models have been developed; the most important of them is Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA). A QRA is a systematic approach that aims to estimate the likelihood and consequences of hazardous events. Despite its effectiveness, it faces limitations associated with uncertainty, relying on average values within the database. To overcome this limitation, Barrier and Operational Risk Analysis (BORA) is integrated with QRA, incorporating frequency analysis of consequences into the QRA methodology. This developed approach, termed Barrier and Operational Quantitative Risk Analysis (BOQRA), enables the correction of entered data in the database for calculating individual and revised societal risks while counting for human, technical, and organizational aspects. Additionally, it identifies essential measures to control risks and manage the impacts of modifications and configuration changes. The BOQRA sheds the light of the influence of Risk Influencing Factors (RIF) on barriers and their performance within an operational system. As an illustrative case study, we examined the flask ball for separating oil and gas based on density.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
14.30%
发文量
226
审稿时长
52 days
期刊介绍: The broad scope of the journal is process safety. Process safety is defined as the prevention and mitigation of process-related injuries and damage arising from process incidents involving fire, explosion and toxic release. Such undesired events occur in the process industries during the use, storage, manufacture, handling, and transportation of highly hazardous chemicals.
期刊最新文献
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