Association between Long-term Energy Balance-Related Factors and Survival in Colorectal Cancer Overall and by Metabolic Warburg-Subtypes.

Background: Long-term energy balance-related factors (i.e., lifestyle and physiologic factors that influence the equilibrium between energy intake and energy expenditure over an extended period) such as body mass index (BMI) are linked to colorectal cancer risk, but their impact on colorectal cancer survival is unclear. We explored associations between these long-term energy balance-related factors and survival and examined potential differences across metabolic Warburg-subtypes.

Methods: Associations between long-term energy balance-related factors and survival in the total series of patients with colorectal cancer (n = 2,347) obtained from the prospective Netherlands Cohort Study, as well as according to Warburg-subtype (Warburg-low: n = 652, Warburg-moderate: n = 802, Warburg-high: n = 797), were investigated using Cox regression analysis.

Results: Among the long-term energy balance-related factors studied, only increasing prediagnostic BMI was associated with a borderline significant poorer overall survival in patients with colorectal cancer [HR5kg/m2, 1.07; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.99-1.15]. Stratified analyses showed that prediagnostic weight gain (HR5kg, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.99-1.09) and potentially increased height (HR5cm, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.98-1.11) were associated with poor overall survival only in patients with Warburg-high colorectal cancer. Increasing prediagnostic BMI was associated with poor survival only in patients with Warburg-moderate colorectal cancer (colorectal cancer-specific: HR5kg/m2, 1.12; 95% CI, 0.96-1.32; overall: HR5kg/m2, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.05-1.36). No consistent patterns were observed across energy restriction proxies.

Conclusions: Maintaining a healthy prediagnostic BMI may be beneficial for colorectal cancer survival. Moreover, associations between prediagnostic BMI, weight change, early-life energy restriction, height, and colorectal cancer survival differed according to Warburg-subtypes.

Impact: Understanding the biologic pathways involved in associations between energy balance-related factors and colorectal cancer survival could help refine prevention strategies in the future.