多种降水产品的评估及在水动力模拟中的应用:中国西南四川山洪灾害案例

IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Journal of Flood Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI:10.1111/jfr3.13016
Hongxin Luo, Zhiqiang Lin, Haimeng Chen, Dixiang Xiao, Gong Chen, Dongsheng Su
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引用次数: 0

摘要

山洪灾害频发且危害严重,造成了严重的经济损失和人员伤亡,尤其是在复杂地形中,山洪是最危险的威胁。应使用多源降水产品来驱动水文模型,以加深对山洪过程的理解。本文根据 2020 年 6 月 26 日四川特大暴雨引发的严重山洪的现场地面观测资料,对 15 套降水产品进行了评估。多源合并降水产品的表现优于其他产品。卫星降水产品优于模式降水产品,IMERG-Early 和 FY2G 优于其他卫星降水产品。再分析数据集比观测产品相对较差。运行中的 NWPs 严重低估了山区的降水量。此外,通过基于栅格的水动力二维模型 FloodArea,基于各种降水产品模拟了暴雨引起的相关洪水。大多数基于观测的降水产品都很好地表现了洪水区域,而基于模型的降水产品则低估了山洪的严重程度。最后,分析了不同重现期降雨下的山洪风险。结果表明,利用高分辨率 DEM 和降水产品对山洪进行实时监测和预报是很有潜力的。
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Assessments of multiple precipitation products and application in hydrodynamic simulations: A case of casualty-inducing mountain torrents in Sichuan, Southwest China

Mountain torrents are frequent and severe hazards, causing serious economic losses and personnel casualties, and in particular, they are the most dangerous threat in the complex terrain. Multi-source precipitation products should be used to drive the hydrological models to improve understanding of the processes of mountain torrents. Fifteen sets of precipitation products are evaluated against the ground observations in situ within a serious mountain torrent caused by a severe rainstorm at June 26, 2020 in Sichuan. The multi-source merged precipitation products performed better than the others. Satellite-based precipitation performed better than model-based products, while IMERG-Early and FY2G performed better than other satellite-based precipitation products. The reanalysis datasets are relatively worse than the observed products. The operational NWPs strongly underestimated precipitation in the mountainous areas. Furthermore, the related floods caused by the rainstorm is simulated based on various precipitation products by a raster-based hydrodynamic two-dimensional model of FloodArea. Most observation-based precipitation products represented the flooding area well, while the model-based precipitation products underestimated the severity of the mountain torrents. Finally, the risk of mountain torrents under variant return-period rainfall is analyzed. The result shows the potential of real-time torrent monitoring and forecasting using high-resolution DEM and precipitation products.

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来源期刊
Journal of Flood Risk Management
Journal of Flood Risk Management ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-WATER RESOURCES
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
7.30%
发文量
93
审稿时长
12 months
期刊介绍: Journal of Flood Risk Management provides an international platform for knowledge sharing in all areas related to flood risk. Its explicit aim is to disseminate ideas across the range of disciplines where flood related research is carried out and it provides content ranging from leading edge academic papers to applied content with the practitioner in mind. Readers and authors come from a wide background and include hydrologists, meteorologists, geographers, geomorphologists, conservationists, civil engineers, social scientists, policy makers, insurers and practitioners. They share an interest in managing the complex interactions between the many skills and disciplines that underpin the management of flood risk across the world.
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