绿色丝绸之路和 "一带一路 "经济倡议与地方可持续发展:透过中国在中亚的清洁能源投资

Shuqin Gao, Guy S. Liu
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摘要

本文探讨了中国的可再生能源投资如何促进中亚国家的温室气体减排目标,以实现其全球气候承诺和联合国 2030 年可持续发展目标(SDGs2030)。 引言分析了中国绿色丝绸之路和 "一带一路 "经济倡议(SRBI)中出现的问题,以及如何看待全球气候变化对中亚国家可持续能源转型的影响。然后,本文将重点讨论中亚国家在国家能源结构中采取了哪些应对措施,以履行全球气候变化承诺。本文的重点是中国在中亚的可再生能源投资如何有助于解决可持续能源转型的基本问题,缩小低碳可持续能源转型的技术差距和资金障碍,并与巴黎协定保持一致,履行全球气候承诺。中亚国家可再生能源政策生态系统中有限的机构能力和市场失灵危及国内气候投资和中国的可再生能源投资潜力,增加国家可持续发展转型的支出,并引发巨大的财政赤字和债务危机。这种内生的系统性风险恶化了金融和技术壁垒。这就需要区域和多边可再生能源协调与气候合作。中国需要为中亚国家制定全面的绿色政策,以获得当地和国际社会的全力支持。国际可再生能源投资中的公私伙伴关系和多边合作不仅调动了更多的气候金融资源,而且缓解和分散了市场失灵风险。
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Green Silk Road and Belt Economic Initiative and Local Sustainable Development: Through the Lens of China’s Clean Energy Investment in Central Asia
This paper examines how China’s renewable energy investment contributes to the Central Asian countries’ GHG emission reduction target to meet their global climate commitments and the United Nations 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs2030).  The introduction analyzes what problems have emerged in China’s Green Silk Road and Belt Economic Initiative (SRBI) and how global climate change is viewed to affect sustainable energy transition in the Central Asian countries. The paper will then focus on what response in national energy structures have been adopted by Central Asian countries to address global climate change commitments. The main focus of this paper is on how China’s renewable energy investment in Central Asia contributes to solving essential problems for sustainable energy transition, bridging technical gaps and financial barriers for the low-carbon sustainable energy transition and aligning with the Paris agreement to fulfill global climate commitments. The limited institutional capacity and market failure in renewable policy ecosystems in Central Asian countries jeopardizes domestic climate investment and China’s renewable investment potential, increasing national spending for sustainable development transition and triggering huge fiscal deficit and debt crises. This endogenous systemic risk deteriorates financial and technical barriers. This requires regional and multilateral renewables coordination and climate cooperation. China needs to set up a comprehensive green policy for the Central Asian countries to get full support from local and international society. PPP and multilateral cooperation in the international renewables investment have not only mobilized more climate financial resources but also mitigate and diversify market failure risk.
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