俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争:气候、冲突和绿色恢复案例研究

Ievgeniia Kopytsia
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摘要

俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争带来了巨大的社会、经济和环境破坏,它是一个令人信服的案例研究,展示了气候危机更广泛的影响,强调了化石燃料依赖和地缘政治紧张局势之间复杂的相互作用,并说明为气候正义而战与为和平而战是紧密相连的。同时,乌克兰有可能利用战后重建这一前所未有的机会,实现全面脱碳和生态恢复。本文审视了国际气候变化机制的局限性,探讨了化石燃料生产的争议性方面,强调了战争的隐性气候成本,并研究了 "气候变化是一场战斗 "的概念,以及这一概念如何为气候安全和气候正义的全球讨论提供框架。本文认为,应对气候变化就像一场战争,需要调动资源、政治意愿和国际团结。在此背景下,乌克兰的经验为全球社会在应对冲突后恢复的复杂挑战的同时解决气候行动的迫切需求提供了宝贵的借鉴。在适当的援助下,乌克兰可以成为全球能源转型的领跑者,激励其他国家即使在逆境中也要采取雄心勃勃的气候行动。
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The Russian War against Ukraine: a case study in climate, conflict, and green recovery
The Russian war against Ukraine, having brought monumental social, economic, and environmental devastation, serves as a compelling case study demonstrating the broader implications of climate crises, underscoring the complex interplay between fossil fuel dependency and geopolitical tensions, and illustrating that the fight for climate justice and the fight for peace are deeply interconnected. Meanwhile, Ukraine has the potential to leverage post-war reconstruction as an unprecedented opportunity for comprehensive decarbonisation and ecological recovery. Examining the limitations of the international climate change regime and exploring controversial aspects of fossil fuel production, this paper highlights the hidden climate costs of war, and investigates the concept of ‘climate change as a battle’ and how it can frame the global discourse on climate security and climate justice. It argues that addressing climate change is akin to fighting a war, requiring mobilisation of resources, political will, and international solidarity. In this context, Ukraine’s experience offers valuable lessons for the global community as it navigates the complex challenges of post-conflict recovery while simultaneously addressing the urgent need for climate action. With the right assistance, Ukraine could emerge as a front-runner in the global energy transition, inspiring other nations to pursue ambitious climate action even in the face of adversity.
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