基于随机前沿引力模型的中国对 RCEP 国家数字产品出口效率与潜力分析

Wen Zhang
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摘要

目的:本文分析了影响中国对区域全面经济伙伴关系(RCEP)国家数字产品出口的因素,并在此基础上提出了相关建议。希望能够改善中国对 RCEP 国家的数字产品出口,提高中国在数字领域的国际竞争力。研究方法本文构建随机前沿引力模型计算出口效率,并基于出口效率模型分析影响出口效率的相关因素。结果中国对 RCEP 国家的数字产品出口效率总体较高。中国与 RCEP 国家的数字产品贸易受两国 GDP、RCEP 国家人口数量、两国是否有共同语言、两国是否相邻等因素的正向影响,受中国人口数量、两国地理距离等因素的负向影响。此外,签署自由贸易协定、提高数字基础设施水平、知识产权、关税自由度、政府支出等都能有效提高数字产品出口贸易效率,而商业自由度和货币自由度对数字产品贸易效率有抑制作用。结论中国可通过与 RCEP 国家签署自由贸易协定、加强数字基础设施投资合作和知识产权援助等方式促进数字产品出口。出口国可通过适度降低关税、增加政府投资等方式促进与其他国家的贸易合作。
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Analysis of China's Export Efficiency and Potential of Digital Products to RCEP Countries-based on the Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model
Objective: This paper analyzes the factors affecting China’s digital product exports to Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) countries, and puts forward relevant suggestions on this basis. It is hoped that China’s digital product exports to RCEP countries can be improved, and china’s international competitiveness in the digital field can be enhanced. Methods: This paper constructs a stochastic frontier gravity model to calculate the export efficiency, and analyzes the relevant factors affecting export efficiency based on the export efficiency model. Results: China’s overall export efficiency of digital products to RCEP countries is relatively high. China’s digital product trade with RCEP countries is positively affected by the GDP of the two countries, the population size of the RCEP countries, whether the two countries have a common language and whether they are adjacent to each other, and negatively affected by China’s population size and the geographical distance between the two countries. In addition, signing a free trade agreement, improving the level of digital infrastructure, intellectual property rights, tariff freedom, and government spending can effectively improve the efficiency of digital product export trade, while commercial freedom and monetary freedom have a suppressive effect on the efficiency of digital product trade. Conclusion: China can promote the export of digital products by signing free trade agreements and strengthening investment cooperation in digital infrastructure and intellectual property assistance with RCEP countries. Exporting countries can promote trade cooperation with other countries by moderately reducing tariffs and increasing government investment.
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