散户和机构投资者的交易行为:来自中国的证据

Lin Tan, Xiaoyan Zhang, Xinran Zhang
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摘要

我们研究了有关中国交易动态的两个重要问题:散户和机构投资者是如何交易的?与美国不同,中国股市有两个显著特点:散户主导和政府积极参与。在回顾了以往近百项研究后,我们得出了三个结论。首先,散户投资者存在很大的异质性。小散户投资者金融知识水平低,表现出行为偏差,对未来收益的预测为负,这一点不足为奇;而大散户投资者和机构有能力处理信息,对未来收益的预测为正。其次,中国宏观和公司层面的信息环境正在缓慢而逐步地改善,这在很大程度上影响了不同投资者的交易行为,尤其是较为成熟的机构投资者和大型散户投资者。最后,中国政府积极调整对股市的监管,以实现增长和稳定的双重目标。许多法规是有效的,而有些法规可能会产生意想不到的后果。
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Retail and Institutional Investor Trading Behaviors: Evidence from China
We study two important questions regarding trading dynamics in China: How do retail and institutional investors trade, and what are the underlying factors for these behaviors? Different from the United States, China's stock market has two prominent features: dominance of retail investors and active participation by the government. After reviewing nearly 100 previous studies, we reach three conclusions. First, there are substantial heterogeneity in retail investors. Small retail investors have low financial literacy, exhibit behavioral biases, and not surprisingly, negatively predict future returns, whereas large retail investors and institutions are capable of processing information and positively predict future returns. Second, the macro- and firm-level information environment in China is slowly but gradually improving, which greatly affects trading behaviors of different investors, especially the more sophisticated institutional investors and large retail investors. Finally, the Chinese government actively adjusts their regulations on the stock market to serve the dual goals of growth and stability. Many regulations are effective, while some may generate unintended consequences.
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