尼日利亚的机构质量、货币政策和银行系统稳定性

Orina Tobi Adewumi, Demehin James Adeniyi
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摘要

研究采用广义矩法考察了六项智商指数(发言权和问责制、法治、监管质量、政府效能、腐败控制以及政治稳定和无暴力)和 MP 工具(货币政策利率、贷存比、贷款利率、广义货币供应量对数和银行系统流动性比率)对代表银行系统稳定性的 Z 值的影响。研究发现,在六个 MP 指数中,只有腐败控制指数对银行稳定性有显著的正向影响(系数 = 0.245124,P = 0.0042)。此外,在五个 MP 变量中,只有贷存比对银行稳定性有显著的正向影响(系数 = 0.0070482,P = 0.0072)。其他 IQ 和 MP 指标的影响均不明显,不足以用于推论。我们得出结论,智商对银行系统稳定性的影响是积极且显著的。我们还发现,MP 对银行系统的稳定性也有积极而重要的影响。我们建议,除其他外,当局应继续在机构中推行零腐败,并授权银行改进现有的反腐败措施。此外,尼日利亚中央银行应继续保持多年来的贷存比范围。有必要重新评估对尼日利亚银行系统稳定性没有显著积极影响的其他 IQ 和 MP 变量。
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Institutional Quality, Monetary Policy and Banking System Stability in Nigeria
The study used a Generalized Method of Moments to examine the effect of six IQ indices (voice and accountability, rule of law, regulatory quality, government effectiveness, corruption control and political stability and absence of violence) and MP tools (monetary policy rate, loan-deposit ratio, lending rate, logarithm of broad money supply and banking system liquidity ratio) on the Z-Score, a proxy for banking system stability. The study found that, among the six MP indices, only corruption control index has a positive and significant effect on bank stability (coefficient = 0.245124, p = 0.0042). Also, out of five MP variables, only the loan-deposit ratio has a significantly positive effect on bank stability (coefficient = 0.0070482, p = 0.0072). The effect of the other IQ and MP indicators are not significant enough for inference purposes. We conclude that IQ affects banking system stability positively and significantly. We also found that MP affects the stability of the banking system positively and significantly. We recommend, among others, that authorities should continue to pursue zero corruption in institutions and that banks should be mandated to improve on the existing anti-corruption measures. Also the Central Bank of Nigeria should continue to maintain the range of loan-deposit ratio that has existed for many years. There is the need to re-appraise other IQ and MP variables with no significant positive effect on banking system stability in Nigeria.
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