研究物流基础设施对东盟经济增长的影响

Raden Parianom, Desmintari, Kery Utami
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摘要

尽管经济潜力巨大,但东盟在满足基础设施投资需求方面仍面临挑战,导致一些国家的物流绩效不尽如人意。本研究建议分析东盟国家的物流基础设施和基础设施投资对东盟整体经济增长的贡献。本研究还旨在为制定有效政策以促进区域互联互通和加快东盟地区经济一体化提供有价值的见解。本研究采用固定效应模型,使用了 2021 年至 2022 年期间收集的八个东盟国家(柬埔寨、印度尼西亚、马来西亚、缅甸、菲律宾、泰国、新加坡和越南)的面板数据。结果表明,东盟国家的物流基础设施尚未对东盟经济增长产生最佳影响。然而,东盟国家的国内基础设施投资对东盟经济增长产生了显著的负面影响。东盟各国政府必须优先考虑并积极发展国内和区域的物流基础设施,以帮助发展区域联系并促进可持续的经济增长率。东盟各国政府还应加大协调力度,优化区域金融一体化,寻找替代资金来源,并评估限制私营部门参与的法规,以最大限度地扩大私营部门在基础设施发展中的投资,包括公私合作伙伴关系(PPP)。关键词东盟、经济增长、固定效应、基础设施投资、物流基础设施
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An Examination of the Logistics Infrastructure's Impact on the Economic Growth of ASEAN
Despite the substantial economic potential, ASEAN faces challenges in meeting its infrastructure investment needs, resulting in suboptimal logistics performance for several countries. This study proposes an analysis of the contribution of logistics infrastructure and infrastructure investment in ASEAN countries to the overall economic growth of ASEAN. This study also aims to provide valuable insights for formulating effective policies that promote regional connectivity and accelerate economic integration in the ASEAN region. This study employs a fixed effect model with panel data from eight ASEAN nations (Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and Vietnam) gathered between 2021 and 2022. The results show that ASEAN countries’ logistics infrastructure is yet to affect ASEAN economic growth optimally. However, ASEAN countries’ domestic infrastructure investment significantly and negatively affects ASEAN economic growth. ASEAN governments must prioritize and actively develop logistics infrastructure, both nationally and regionally, to help develop regional linkages and promote sustainable economic growth rates. They should also intensify coordination efforts, optimize regional financial integration, identify alternative funding sources, and assess regulations restricting private sector participation to maximize private sector investments in infrastructure development, including public-private partnership (PPP). Keywords: ASEAN, economic growth, fixed effect, infrastructure investment, logistic infrastructure
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