印度工业部门的燃料替代可能性、要素生产率和技术进步

M. Raza, Boqiang Lin, Qasim Javed
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摘要

印度经常被称为下一个发展超级大国,一般来说,成为大规模工业化中心被视为印度可以实现的目标。本文研究了印度工业部门各种要素(即劳动力、资本和能源使用)之间的产出弹性、替代弹性和技术进步。为了研究要素的生产率,采用了反式对数生产函数;但为了检查多重共线性问题,采用了脊回归分析各种参数。结果表明:(1) 所分析的投入是乐观的,劳动、资本和能源之间的规模报酬率平均值分别为 1.18、1.41 和 1.24,呈递增趋势;(2) 发现劳动-工业能源利用和资本-工业能源消耗之间的成对替代率分别为 0.96 和 0.98,表明资本、劳动力和能源是很好的替代品,在生产过程中需要更多关注;(3) 要素之间的技术进步在-0.4 到 0.02 之间,其中劳动力-能源利用和资本-能源利用比资本-劳动力利用更快。最后,在可持续发展目标下,如果资本和熟练劳动力得到改善,工业部门就能实现最高生产率,因为能源和资本得到了优化,从而实现了最高效率。最后,能源替代和低碳技术努力可以更好地实现工业部门的双碳目标。
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Fuel substitution possibilities, factor productivity, and technological progress in the industrial sector of India
India is often referred to as the next development superpower, and generally, becoming a large-scale industrialization center is seen as an achievable goal for the country. This article investigates the output elasticity, substitution elasticity, and technological advancement between the various factors (i.e., labor, capital, and energy use) in the industrial sector of India. To investigate the factor's productivity, a trans-log production function was applied; however, ridge regression was used to analyze the various parameters to check the multicollinearity issue. The results show that (1) the analyzed inputs are optimistic and return-to-scale averages of 1.18, 1.41, and 1.24 between labor, capital, and energy, respectively, are increasing; (2) the pairs substitution between labor–industrial energy utilization and capital–industrial energy consumption is found to be 0.96 and 0.98, respectively, on average, indicating that capital, labor, and energy are good substitutes that need more attention in the production process; and (3) the technological progress between factors ranges from −0.4 to 0.02, in which labor–energy and capital–energy utilizations provide quicker outcomes than a capital–labor utilization. Finally, the industrial sector can attain maximum productivity if capital and skilled labor are improved under the sustainable development goals, as energy and capital are optimized for maximum efficiency. Finally, energy substitution and low-carbon technological efforts can be better suited for attaining dual-carbon goals in the industrial sector.
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