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Fuel substitution possibilities, factor productivity, and technological progress in the industrial sector of India 印度工业部门的燃料替代可能性、要素生产率和技术进步
Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.3389/fsuep.2024.1351785
M. Raza, Boqiang Lin, Qasim Javed
India is often referred to as the next development superpower, and generally, becoming a large-scale industrialization center is seen as an achievable goal for the country. This article investigates the output elasticity, substitution elasticity, and technological advancement between the various factors (i.e., labor, capital, and energy use) in the industrial sector of India. To investigate the factor's productivity, a trans-log production function was applied; however, ridge regression was used to analyze the various parameters to check the multicollinearity issue. The results show that (1) the analyzed inputs are optimistic and return-to-scale averages of 1.18, 1.41, and 1.24 between labor, capital, and energy, respectively, are increasing; (2) the pairs substitution between labor–industrial energy utilization and capital–industrial energy consumption is found to be 0.96 and 0.98, respectively, on average, indicating that capital, labor, and energy are good substitutes that need more attention in the production process; and (3) the technological progress between factors ranges from −0.4 to 0.02, in which labor–energy and capital–energy utilizations provide quicker outcomes than a capital–labor utilization. Finally, the industrial sector can attain maximum productivity if capital and skilled labor are improved under the sustainable development goals, as energy and capital are optimized for maximum efficiency. Finally, energy substitution and low-carbon technological efforts can be better suited for attaining dual-carbon goals in the industrial sector.
印度经常被称为下一个发展超级大国,一般来说,成为大规模工业化中心被视为印度可以实现的目标。本文研究了印度工业部门各种要素(即劳动力、资本和能源使用)之间的产出弹性、替代弹性和技术进步。为了研究要素的生产率,采用了反式对数生产函数;但为了检查多重共线性问题,采用了脊回归分析各种参数。结果表明:(1) 所分析的投入是乐观的,劳动、资本和能源之间的规模报酬率平均值分别为 1.18、1.41 和 1.24,呈递增趋势;(2) 发现劳动-工业能源利用和资本-工业能源消耗之间的成对替代率分别为 0.96 和 0.98,表明资本、劳动力和能源是很好的替代品,在生产过程中需要更多关注;(3) 要素之间的技术进步在-0.4 到 0.02 之间,其中劳动力-能源利用和资本-能源利用比资本-劳动力利用更快。最后,在可持续发展目标下,如果资本和熟练劳动力得到改善,工业部门就能实现最高生产率,因为能源和资本得到了优化,从而实现了最高效率。最后,能源替代和低碳技术努力可以更好地实现工业部门的双碳目标。
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引用次数: 0
Temperature sensitive electricity demand and policy implications for energy transition: a case study of Florida, USA 对温度敏感的电力需求及其对能源转型的政策影响:美国佛罗里达州的案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.3389/fsuep.2023.1271035
Anna Fache, M. Bhat
The demand for electricity is soaring, propelled not only by population and GDP growth but also the pressing effects of climate change. This study seeks to address the uncertainties surrounding future electricity demand by projecting monthly consumption in Florida, USA, taking into account diverse climate scenarios and their potential impacts. Our approach involves utilizing the degree-day method and constructing an energy consumption regression model grounded in historical data. Key variables, including population, employment, GDP, electricity prices, temperature, and daylight hours, are systematically analyzed. This model acts as the fundamental basis for forecasting future electricity needs in residential, commercial, and industrial sectors across the state of Florida up to the year 2050, considering different climate scenarios. Under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 scenario, the residential sector foresees a substantial 63% increase in electricity demand from 2001–2019 to 2050. Under the more extreme RCP 8.5 scenario, this surge climbs to 65%. Meanwhile, the commercial and industrial sectors are expected to witness a 47% and 54% upswing in demand under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, respectively. Intriguingly, heightened demand for cooling during scorching summers outweighs the reduced need for heating in winter, particularly in the residential sector. The current renewable energy policies fall short of addressing the impending climate-driven surge in electricity demand. To combat this, our recommendation is the implementation of a Renewable Portfolio Standard, aimed at significantly enhancing the proportion of renewables in Florida's electricity mix. This paper concludes with a set of crucial policy recommendations, imperative for steering a sustainable transition to renewable energy and effectively managing the impacts of extreme heat on people's lives. These recommendations serve as a strategic roadmap for navigating the evolving landscape of electricity demand amidst the complex challenges posed by climate change.
在人口和 GDP 增长以及气候变化的紧迫影响的推动下,电力需求急剧增长。本研究旨在通过预测美国佛罗里达州的月度用电量,并考虑不同的气候情景及其潜在影响,来解决未来电力需求的不确定性问题。我们的方法包括利用度日法和构建一个以历史数据为基础的能源消耗回归模型。对人口、就业、GDP、电价、气温和日照时间等关键变量进行了系统分析。该模型是预测佛罗里达州直至 2050 年居民、商业和工业部门未来电力需求的基本依据,并考虑了不同的气候情景。在代表性浓度途径(RCP)4.5 情景下,住宅部门预计从 2001-2019 年到 2050 年的电力需求将大幅增加 63%。在更极端的 RCP 8.5 情景下,这一激增将达到 65%。同时,在 RCP 4.5 和 RCP 8.5 条件下,商业和工业部门的需求预计将分别增长 47% 和 54%。耐人寻味的是,烈日炎炎的夏季制冷需求的增加超过了冬季供暖需求的减少,尤其是在住宅领域。目前的可再生能源政策不足以应对即将到来的由气候驱动的电力需求激增。为解决这一问题,我们建议实施可再生能源组合标准,旨在大幅提高可再生能源在佛罗里达州电力组合中的比例。本文最后提出了一系列重要的政策建议,这些建议对于引导向可再生能源的可持续过渡以及有效控制极端高温对人们生活的影响至关重要。这些建议可作为在气候变化带来的复杂挑战中驾驭不断变化的电力需求的战略路线图。
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引用次数: 0
Public values failure associated with Hurricane Ian power outages 与 "伊恩 "飓风断电相关的公共价值观失效
Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.3389/fsuep.2023.1304673
Rebecca M. Entress, Kelly A. Stevens
Power outages from extreme weather events can diminish community resilience, making it difficult for the areas impacted to bounce back after such events. For socially vulnerable populations, the frequency and duration of power outages can be even more severe. Governments have an obligation to protect public values, or those values that are most fundamental to society, which includes equitable resilience. Using Jørgensen and Bozeman's inventory of public values, this manuscript explores how power outages from extreme weather events create public values failures. More specifically, the manuscript evaluates intraorganizational aspects of public administration during power outages in Florida during Hurricane Ian in 2022. Framing power outages as a public values failure may motivate greater time and effort toward improving equitable access to more resilient power systems.
极端天气事件造成的停电会削弱社区的恢复能力,使受影响地区在此类事件后很难反弹。对于社会弱势群体来说,停电的频率和持续时间可能会更加严重。政府有义务保护公共价值,或那些对社会最根本的价值,其中包括公平的抗灾能力。本手稿利用 Jørgensen 和 Bozeman 的公共价值清单,探讨了极端天气事件造成的停电是如何导致公共价值失效的。更具体地说,手稿评估了 2022 年 "伊恩 "飓风在佛罗里达州造成停电期间公共管理的组织内部问题。将停电事件定格为公共价值观失效可能会促使人们投入更多的时间和精力,以改善对更具弹性的电力系统的公平使用。
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引用次数: 0
The current state and potential evolution of carbon emissions in the healthcare sector: a narrative review article 医疗保健行业碳排放的现状和潜在演变:一篇叙述性评论文章
Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.3389/fsuep.2023.1230253
Dalia Mominkhan, Fahad A. Alamri, Manea Balharith, Muaddi Alharbi, Ahmed Alshebli, Sara Y. Alshareef, Abdulhemaid Khairaldain, Najla Almutairi, Abdulaziz Abusit, Yasir Almuzaini, Ahmed A. Alahmari, Mohammed K. Alabdulaali
Over 98% of the world's greenhouse gas emissions in 2014 came from carbon dioxide (CO2), methane, and nitrous oxide. Over one century, CO2 emissions increased from 3.09 to 37.12 billion metric tons. The healthcare sector is one of the major sources of greenhouse gas emissions. The carbon footprint of a country's healthcare system is influenced by its domestic economy, healthcare expenditure, and energy system. The aim of this study is to present a concise of the present status of carbon emissions within the healthcare sectors on a global scale, as well as the forthcoming endeavors to mitigate these emissions. A narrative review of studies on climate change, carbon emissions, and greenhouse gases in the healthcare sector was conducted using Medline PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus and Google Scholar databases from 2005 to April 2023. According to the data, several countries emit more carbon per capita than others. The Conference of the Parties on Climate Change (COP26) recently encompassed extensive efforts culminating in releasing initiatives toward zero-carbon healthcare sectors. Efforts in some medical practices, smart technology to save energy, digital health, artificial intelligence technology, and monitoring have contributed to reducing carbon emissions. In conclusion, the healthcare sector with zero carbon emissions must be sustainable, adaptable, and efficient while delivering safe, high-quality care. Addressing the sector's carbon footprint requires innovative strategies, a multisector approach, health professionals' participation, community engagement, and regular monitoring of emissions and performance indicators to ensure patient service quality and low carbon emissions in the healthcare sector.
2014 年,全球超过 98% 的温室气体排放来自二氧化碳(CO2)、甲烷和一氧化二氮。一个世纪以来,二氧化碳排放量从 30.9 亿吨增至 371.2 亿吨。医疗保健行业是温室气体排放的主要来源之一。一个国家医疗保健系统的碳足迹受其国内经济、医疗保健支出和能源系统的影响。本研究旨在简要介绍全球范围内医疗保健行业的碳排放现状,以及为减少这些排放即将做出的努力。本研究利用 Medline PubMed、Web of Science、Scopus 和 Google Scholar 数据库,对 2005 年至 2023 年 4 月期间有关医疗保健行业气候变化、碳排放和温室气体的研究进行了叙述性综述。数据显示,一些国家的人均碳排放量高于其他国家。最近,气候变化缔约方大会(COP26)做出了大量努力,最终发布了实现零碳医疗行业的倡议。一些医疗实践、智能节能技术、数字医疗、人工智能技术和监测等方面的努力为减少碳排放做出了贡献。总之,零碳排放的医疗行业必须具有可持续性、适应性和高效性,同时提供安全、优质的医疗服务。解决该行业的碳足迹问题需要创新战略、多部门方法、医疗专业人员的参与、社区参与以及对排放和绩效指标的定期监测,以确保患者服务质量和医疗行业的低碳排放。
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引用次数: 0
How can quantitative policy analysis inform the energy transition? The case of electrification 定量政策分析如何为能源转型提供信息?电气化的例子
Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.3389/fsuep.2023.1271301
Parth Vaishnav
Quantitative analyses may aim to provide actionable answers to policy questions and to generate tools or insights for decision-making. Given the deep uncertainties involved in any realistic reckoning of policy questions, this study argues that only the second of these goals is achievable. Here, this argument is illustrated by considering analyses of how the electrification of an activity changes the damage from the air pollution emissions that occur because of that activity. The sources of uncertainty in such an analysis include the long life of the technologies being studied. Consequently, the structure and operation of the electricity grid might change because of the new technology and independent of it. Analysts must make subjective choices about what to include in their analysis and what to exclude. For example, policies modeled in isolation may, in reality, be bundled with other policies; interactions between technologies may be missed if the analysis focuses on only one technology; and certain benefits or costs may be neglected because they lie outside the scope of the analysis and the expertise of the analyst. Quantitative policy analysis must aim to be part of the broader discussions in society that ultimately determine what policies get implemented.
定量分析的目的可能是为政策问题提供可操作的答案,并为决策提供工具或见解。考虑到任何对政策问题的现实估计都涉及深刻的不确定性,本研究认为,这些目标中只有第二个是可以实现的。在这里,这一论点是通过考虑一项活动的电气化如何改变由于该活动而产生的空气污染排放的损害的分析来说明的。在这种分析中,不确定性的来源包括所研究技术的长寿命。因此,电网的结构和运行可能会因为新技术而发生变化,并独立于它。分析师必须做出主观选择,决定在他们的分析中包括什么,排除什么。例如,孤立建模的策略实际上可能与其他策略捆绑在一起;如果分析只关注一种技术,可能会错过技术之间的相互作用;某些收益或成本可能会被忽略,因为它们超出了分析的范围和分析人员的专业知识。定量政策分析必须旨在成为社会上更广泛讨论的一部分,最终决定哪些政策将得到实施。
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引用次数: 0
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