{"title":"大规模非正规部门的气候变化和技术采用","authors":"Miguel Mascarúa , Ricardo Montañez-Enríquez","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100147","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>What are the aggregate consequences of policies that target adopting more efficient technologies in an economy with a large informal sector? Using a heterogeneous agents model with endogenous occupation choice between workers and formal and informal entrepreneurs and calibrated to Mexico, we found that in economies with a large informal sector, a decrease in the overall tax rate increases by more the adoption of advanced technologies than in economies with a low informal sector. Furthermore, the burden on government revenues is lower in a highly informal economy. In addition, we find that such policies are more efficient than those that target adopting more advanced technologies because they tackle two distortionary problems: the informality rate and the low adoption of advanced technologies. Such policies become relevant, as we estimate that climate change can reduce aggregate production by up to 6.6% in the long-run.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100147"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sector\",\"authors\":\"Miguel Mascarúa , Ricardo Montañez-Enríquez\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100147\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>What are the aggregate consequences of policies that target adopting more efficient technologies in an economy with a large informal sector? Using a heterogeneous agents model with endogenous occupation choice between workers and formal and informal entrepreneurs and calibrated to Mexico, we found that in economies with a large informal sector, a decrease in the overall tax rate increases by more the adoption of advanced technologies than in economies with a low informal sector. Furthermore, the burden on government revenues is lower in a highly informal economy. In addition, we find that such policies are more efficient than those that target adopting more advanced technologies because they tackle two distortionary problems: the informality rate and the low adoption of advanced technologies. Such policies become relevant, as we estimate that climate change can reduce aggregate production by up to 6.6% in the long-run.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":100867,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Latin American Journal of Central Banking\",\"volume\":\"6 3\",\"pages\":\"Article 100147\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Latin American Journal of Central Banking\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666143824000292\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2024/7/8 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666143824000292","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/7/8 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Climate change and technology adoption with a large informal sector
What are the aggregate consequences of policies that target adopting more efficient technologies in an economy with a large informal sector? Using a heterogeneous agents model with endogenous occupation choice between workers and formal and informal entrepreneurs and calibrated to Mexico, we found that in economies with a large informal sector, a decrease in the overall tax rate increases by more the adoption of advanced technologies than in economies with a low informal sector. Furthermore, the burden on government revenues is lower in a highly informal economy. In addition, we find that such policies are more efficient than those that target adopting more advanced technologies because they tackle two distortionary problems: the informality rate and the low adoption of advanced technologies. Such policies become relevant, as we estimate that climate change can reduce aggregate production by up to 6.6% in the long-run.